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Serie A

Referee: F Pasqua

Bologna

S T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Napoli

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

1,8

2,8

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,0

This season — Serie A · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 57%

33%

80%

Points per game

1,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

67%

60%

Both score Ø 54%

67%

40%

Average goals

3,8

3,6

Scored

1,8

2,8

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

6 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 9

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

6 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 14. · Napoli 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Sassuolo	7	4	3	0	+9	15
3	Roma	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Atalanta	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Napoli	5	4	0	1	+10	12
6	Inter	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	Verona	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Lazio	7	3	2	2	-2	11
9	Juventus	6	2	4	0	+6	10
10	Sampdoria	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Cagliari	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Fiorentina	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Spezia	7	2	2	3	-4	8
14	Bologna	6	2	0	4	-1	6
15	Parma	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Benevento	7	2	0	5	-10	6
17	Torino	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Genoa	7	1	2	4	-8	5
19	Udinese	7	1	1	5	-5	4
20	Crotone	7	0	2	5	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Verona	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Roma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Milan	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Bologna	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Sassuolo	4	1	3	0	+3	6
7	Cagliari	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Parma	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Lazio	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Inter	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Genoa	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Benevento	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Torino	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Milan	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Atalanta	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Inter	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Spezia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Roma	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Juventus	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Sampdoria	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Cagliari	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Fiorentina	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Genoa	3	0	2	1	-6	2
16	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Udinese	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Parma	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Crotone	4	0	1	3	-8	1
20	Bologna	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.