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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vitor Ferreira

Farense

T T U T U

3–1

Full-time

Boavista

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Farense Boavista

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%

6 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Farense 18. · Boavista 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+15	19
2	Benfica	6	5	0	1	+9	15
3	Sp Braga	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Porto	6	3	1	2	+6	10
5	Santa Clara	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	Rio Ave	7	2	4	1	+0	10
7	Guimaraes	7	3	1	3	-3	10
8	Famalicao	7	2	3	2	-3	9
9	Pacos Ferreira	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Moreirense	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Tondela	7	2	2	3	-6	8
12	Nacional	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Belenenses	7	1	4	2	-2	7
14	Maritimo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Boavista	6	1	3	2	-3	6
16	Gil Vicente	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Portimonense	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Farense	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Moreirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Tondela	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Pacos Ferreira	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Famalicao	4	1	2	1	-3	5
9	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Maritimo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Nacional	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Belenenses	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Boavista	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Guimaraes	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Farense	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Guimaraes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Rio Ave	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Santa Clara	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Porto	3	1	1	1	+4	4
8	Famalicao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Nacional	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Boavista	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Farense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Gil Vicente	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.