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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Vitesse
T S S S S
3–1
Full-time
FC Emmen
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
86%
0%
Points per game
2,6
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 65%
43%
86%
Average goals
2,6
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
0,6
2,6
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

30% Possession 70%
9 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 2. · FC Emmen 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 8 7 0 1 +27 21
2 Vitesse 7 6 0 1 +10 18
3 Twente 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 1 1 +11 16
5 Heerenveen 7 5 1 1 +8 16
6 Feyenoord 6 4 2 0 +8 14
7 Groningen 7 4 1 2 +1 13
8 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 -3 9
9 AZ Alkmaar 6 1 5 0 +3 8
10 Heracles 8 2 2 4 -4 8
11 VVV Venlo 8 2 2 4 -13 8
12 Zwolle 8 1 4 3 -5 7
13 Willem II 7 1 2 4 -6 5
14 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 -8 5
15 Waalwijk 8 1 2 5 -10 5
16 Den Haag 8 1 1 6 -12 4
17 FC Emmen 7 0 3 4 -8 3
18 For Sittard 8 0 3 5 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse FC Emmen
8′
🟨 Felix Wiedwald
1–0 O. Tannane
9′
20′
🟨 Simon Tibbling
2–0 O. Tannane
E. Dasa
26′
Riechedly Bazoer 🟥
29′
43′
🟨 Keziah Veendorp
3–0 L. Openda
T. Bruns
44′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 L. Carty
↦ S. Tibbling
57′
🔁 L. Bernadou
↦ M. Chacón
58′
M. de Leeuw 3–1
L. Carty
P. Vroegh 🔁
↦ L. Openda
61′
T. Buitink 🔁
↦ A. Broja
62′
I. Touré 🔁
↦ T. Bruns
62′
O. Darfalou 🔁
↦ O. Tannane
73′
76′
🔁 S. Sidibe
↦ K. Veendorp
79′
🟨 Luciano Carty
88′
🟨 Ricardo Van Rhijn
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

5-3-2
22 R. Pasveer G
2 E. Dasa D
32 M. Wittek D
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
20 T. Bruns M
10 R. Bazoer D
8 S. Tronstad M
14 O. Tannane M
7 L. Openda F
11 A. Broja F
Bench (10)
36 P. Vroegh
29 T. Buitink
27 I. Touré
9 O. Darfalou
42 M. Manhoef
23 B. Bayazit
39 E. Cornelisse
18 T. Hájek
40 D. Huisman
24 J. Houwen

Coach: T. Letsch

FC Emmen

5-3-2
1 F. Wiedwald G
22 C. Cavlan D
34 R. van Rhijn D
5 M. Araujo D
3 K. Veendorp D
23 G. Bijl D
8 M. de Leeuw F
7 S. Tibbling M
20 M. Chacón M
10 S. Peña M
11 N. Laursen F
Bench (11)
12 L. Carty
24 L. Bernadou
25 S. Sidibe
14 F. Görgülü
30 D. Payne
15 L. Caciano
26 D. Telgenkamp
18 D. Granečný
21 H. Ben Moussa
4 N. Bakker
93 S. van der Lei

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,45
U
4,56
B
6,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,38
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.