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Super League
Referee: A Papapetrou
Apollon
T T T T T
1–3
Full-time
PAOK
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Apollon PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Super League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
5 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Apollon 14. · PAOK 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 6 5 1 0 +13 16
2 Aris Thessalonikis 6 5 1 0 +6 16
3 Aris 6 5 1 0 +6 16
4 AEK 6 4 1 1 +6 13
5 PAOK 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Volos NFC 8 3 3 2 +2 12
7 Atromitos 8 3 2 3 -4 11
8 Giannina 9 2 4 3 +0 10
9 Asteras Tripolis 7 3 1 3 -1 10
10 Panathinaikos 9 2 3 4 -1 9
11 OFI Crete 8 1 3 4 -6 6
12 Larisa 6 1 2 3 -3 5
13 Panetolikos 8 0 4 4 -8 4
14 Apollon 6 1 0 5 -5 3
15 Lamia 7 0 1 6 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Apollon PAOK
15′
K. Świderski 0–1
S. Schwab
Nikos Ioannidis 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Tsiloulis
S. Tsabouris
63′
67′
🔁 O. El Kaddouri
↦ C. Tzolis
68′
🟨 Thomas Murg
Vykintas Slivka 🟨
69′
Savvas Tsambouris 🟨
71′
Christos Lisgaras 🟨
76′
78′
S. Schwab 1–2
A. Mounier 🔁
↦ S. Tsabouris
79′
A. Dauda 🔁
↦ F. Andoni
82′
I. Coll 🔁
↦ Thomas
82′
83′
🔁 A. Čolak
↦ K. Świderski
87′
🔁 I. Michailidis
↦ T. Murg
Karlo Bručić 🟨
90′
Marc Fernández 🔁
↦ N. Ioannidis
91′
97′
Douglas 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Apollon

3-4-3
13 D. Verhulst G
5 Domingues D
6 D. Baxevanidis D
2 K. Bručić D
4 C. Lisgaras D
20 S. Tsabouris D
64 F. Andoni M
14 V. Slivka M
23 S. Tsiloulis M
9 N. Ioannidis F
10 Thomas M
Bench (9)
26 A. Mounier
27 A. Dauda
7 I. Coll
17 Marc Fernández
19 L. Rossi
31 V. Vitlis
8 A. Lagos
1 K. Kotsaris
88 R. Kitoko

Coach: G. Paraschos

PAOK

4-2-3-1
88 Ž. Živković G
15 José Crespo D
4 S. Ingason D
2 Rodrigo Alves M
19 E. Lyratzis D
22 S. Schwab M
10 T. Murg M
14 A. Živković M
33 Douglas M
9 K. Świderski F
11 C. Tzolis F
Bench (9)
7 O. El Kaddouri
25 A. Čolak
49 I. Michailidis
21 D. Biseswar
24 A. Esiti
32 N. Ninua
51 T. Tsiggaras
18 M. Wagué
31 A. Paschalakis

Coach: P. García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,68
U
4,35
B ✓
1,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.