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LaLiga2
Sabadell
T U S S T
1–2
Full-time
Malaga
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sabadell Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 31%
22%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
44%
40%
Both score Ø 26%
22%
30%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

7 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 2
15 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sabadell 21. · Malaga 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 11 8 2 1 +14 26
2 Sp Gijon 11 7 1 3 +5 22
3 Mallorca 10 5 4 1 +7 19
4 Leganes 11 6 1 4 +2 19
5 Vallecano 10 5 1 4 +3 16
6 Mirandes 11 4 4 3 +1 16
7 Lugo 11 5 1 5 +0 16
8 Cartagena 11 4 3 4 +3 15
9 Ponferradina 10 5 0 5 -1 15
10 Almeria 9 4 2 3 +3 14
11 Logrones 10 4 2 4 +0 14
12 Fuenlabrada 10 3 5 2 -1 14
13 Girona 9 4 2 3 -2 14
14 Malaga 10 4 2 4 -7 14
15 Las Palmas 10 3 4 3 -1 13
16 Oviedo 10 2 4 4 -3 10
17 Tenerife 10 2 4 4 -3 10
18 Albacete 11 2 4 5 -5 10
19 Zaragoza 9 1 5 3 -2 8
20 Castellon 10 2 2 6 -3 8
21 Sabadell 9 2 1 6 -5 7
22 Alcorcon 9 1 2 6 -5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,73
U
2,72
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,83
U2,5
1,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.