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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Motherwell
T S S S U
1–2
Full-time
Ross County
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
46%
49%
Both score Ø 42%
41%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
7 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 7. · Ross County 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 38 32 6 0 +79 102
2 Celtic 38 22 11 5 +49 77
3 Hibernian 38 18 9 11 +13 63
4 Aberdeen 38 15 11 12 -2 56
5 ST Johnstone 38 11 12 15 -10 45
6 Livingston 38 12 9 17 -12 45
7 Motherwell 37 12 9 16 -15 45
8 St Mirren 37 11 11 15 -8 44
9 Dundee United 37 10 13 14 -18 43
10 Ross County 37 10 6 21 -32 36
11 Kilmarnock 37 9 6 22 -13 33
12 Hamilton 37 7 9 21 -31 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Ross County
1′
🟨 Iain Vigurs
Tyler Magloire 🟨
3′
1–0 S. Foley
7′
33′
🟨 Carl Tremarco
42′
🔁 C. Lakin
↦ C. Tremarco
Half-time 1–1
49′
I. Vigurs 1–1
S. Kelly
S. Lawless 🔁
↦ J. Hastie
60′
T. Watt 🔁
↦ R. Crawford
65′
65′
M. Gardyne 1–2
J. White
Devante Cole 🟨
76′
Tony Watt 🟨
79′
86′
🟨 Jordan Tillson
88′
🔁 R. Charles-Cook
↦ M. Gardyne
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-2-1
13 L. Kelly G
33 S. O'Donnell D
4 R. Lamie D
5 N. McGinley D
40 T. Magloire D
37 S. Foley M
8 R. Crawford M
7 M. O'Hara M
44 D. Cole F
9 C. Long M
11 J. Hastie M
Bench (9)
14 S. Lawless
32 T. Watt
18 C. Dunne
27 M. Johnston
26 D. Cornelius
15 B. Maguire
12 S. Fox
3 J. Carroll
31 D. Gallagher

Coach: G. Alexander

Ross County

4-3-3
1 R. Laidlaw G
15 K. Watson D
3 C. Tremarco D
23 J. Naismith D
25 C. Donaldson D
11 I. Vigurs M
7 M. Gardyne F
22 J. Tillson M
20 B. Spittal F
18 S. Kelly M
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
19 C. Lakin
17 R. Charles-Cook
24 H. Paton
28 T. Andreu
21 J. Hilton
10 M. Maouche
6 R. Draper
44 M. Wright
8 O. Shaw

Coach: J. Hughes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U
3,07
B ✓
3,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.