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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
LASK
U T U U S
2–5
Full-time
Salzburg
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 64%
50%
77%
Points per game
1,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
60%
73%
Both score Ø 57%
47%
67%
Average goals
2,9
3,9
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match LASK 3. · Salzburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 30 23 2 5 +54 71
2 SK Rapid 30 16 8 6 +24 56
3 LASK 30 15 6 9 +20 51
4 Sturm Graz 30 14 8 8 +13 50
5 Hartberg 31 11 11 9 -11 44
6 Wolfsberger AC 30 13 4 13 -8 43
7 Austria Vienna 31 11 9 11 +5 42
8 Tirol 30 10 7 13 -3 37
9 Altach 31 9 6 16 -22 33
10 Ried 31 7 9 15 -24 30
11 Admira 31 6 7 18 -31 25
12 St. Polten 31 5 9 17 -17 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

LASK Salzburg
1–0 J. Eggestein
H. Balić
19′
20′
E. Mwepu 1–1
21′
N. Okafor 1–2
K. Adeyemi
Peter Michorl 🟨
26′
44′
P. Daka 1–3
N. Seiwald
Half-time 1–3
L. Grgic 🔁
↦ J. Holland
60′
65′
🟨 Antoine Bernede
67′
K. Adeyemi 1–4
André Ramalho
M. Potzmann 🔁
↦ R. Renner
68′
D. Reiter 🔁
↦ H. Balić
68′
70′
🟨 Rasmus Kristensen
72′
🔁 B. Aaronson
↦ E. Mwepu
72′
K. Adeyemi 1–5
P. Daka
74′
🟨 Antoine Bernede
74′
🟥 Antoine Bernede
M. Madsen 🔁
↦ P. Michorl
76′
A. Griger 🔁
↦ J. Eggestein
76′
77′
🔁 Z. Junuzović
↦ N. Oka
77′
🔁 P. Farkas
↦ R. Kristensen
84′
🔁 A. Ulmer
↦ K. Adeyemi
84′
🔁 M. Berisha
↦ P. Daka
2–5 D. Reiter
T. Goiginger
84′
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

LASK

3-4-3
1 A. Schlager G
5 P. Filipović D
18 G. Trauner D
26 R. Ranftl M
30 A. Andrade D
25 J. Holland M
10 P. Michorl M
7 R. Renner M
27 T. Goiginger F
14 H. Balić F
13 J. Eggestein F
Bench (7)
31 L. Grgic
16 M. Potzmann
11 D. Reiter
21 M. Madsen
28 A. Griger
36 T. Gebauer
15 C. Ramsebner

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
23 N. Mantl G
15 André Ramalho D
95 Bernardo D
43 R. Kristensen D
22 O. Solet D
28 A. Bernède M
45 E. Mwepu M
13 N. Seiwald M
20 P. Daka F
77 N. Okafor M
27 K. Adeyemi F
Bench (7)
11 B. Aaronson
16 Z. Junuzović
25 P. Farkas
17 A. Ulmer
8 M. Berisha
39 M. Wöber
1 C. Stanković

Coach: J. Marsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.