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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Hibernian
S S U S U
2–2
Full-time
St Mirren
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
2,0
0,6
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
11 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 6
7 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 2. · St Mirren 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 5 4 0 1 +6 12
2 Hibernian 5 3 2 0 +6 11
3 Hearts 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Motherwell 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Celtic 5 3 0 2 +13 9
6 Aberdeen 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Dundee United 5 2 1 2 -2 7
8 ST Johnstone 5 0 3 2 -2 3
9 Dundee 5 0 3 2 -7 3
10 St Mirren 5 0 3 2 -7 3
11 Ross County 5 0 2 3 -8 2
12 Livingston 5 0 1 4 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian St Mirren
42′
E. Brophy 0–1
C. Ronan
Half-time 0–1
S. Allan 🔁
↦ C. Cadden
46′
1–1 P. McGinn
S. Allan
56′
Ryan Porteous 🟨
59′
60′
🟨 Matthew Millar
2–1 M. Boyle
61′
62′
🔁 C. Main
↦ D. Reid
62′
🔁 E. Erhahon
↦ C. Ronan
A. Gogić 🔁
↦ J. Doyle-Hayes
82′
82′
🔁 K. McAllister
↦ M. Millar
88′
J. Shaughnessy 2–2
S. Tanser
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 M. Macey G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
27 C. Cadden M
5 R. Porteous D
3 J. Doig M
10 M. Boyle F
11 J. Newell F
22 J. Doyle-Hayes M
7 K. Magennis M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (7)
23 S. Allan
13 A. Gogić
16 L. Stevenson
19 J. Gullan
21 M. Dąbrowski
8 D. Wright
12 N. Wood-Gordon

Coach: J. Ross

St Mirren

3-1-4-2
1 J. Alnwick G
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
3 S. Tanser M
5 C. McCarthy D
6 A. Power M
7 J. McGrath F
43 C. Ronan M
44 M. Millar M
15 D. Reid M
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (7)
10 C. Main
16 E. Erhahon
17 K. McAllister
26 D. Lyness
2 R. Tait
8 R. Flynn
20 K. Dennis

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,63
U ✓
3,81
B
5,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.