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La Liga

Referee: Pablo González

Alaves

S S U S U

1–2

Full-time

Celta

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 26%

31%

21%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

31%

36%

Both score Ø 34%

31%

36%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

13 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 14. · Celta 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	9	3	1	+18	30
2	Sociedad	14	8	5	1	+9	29
3	Sevilla	13	8	4	1	+14	28
4	Ath Madrid	13	7	5	1	+9	26
5	Betis	14	7	3	4	+5	24
6	Vallecano	14	7	2	5	+7	23
7	Barcelona	13	5	5	3	+5	20
8	Ath Bilbao	14	4	8	2	+3	20
9	Osasuna	14	5	4	5	-4	19
10	Valencia	14	4	6	4	+1	18
11	Espanol	14	4	5	5	+0	17
12	Villarreal	13	3	7	3	+2	16
13	Mallorca	14	3	6	5	-8	15
14	Alaves	13	4	2	7	-7	14
15	Celta	14	3	4	7	-4	13
16	Granada	14	2	6	6	-8	12
17	Cadiz	14	2	6	6	-11	12
18	Elche	14	2	5	7	-9	11
19	Getafe	14	2	3	9	-9	9
20	Levante	14	0	7	7	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	Sevilla	6	5	1	0	+11	16
4	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Sociedad	7	4	3	0	+4	15
6	Espanol	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Valencia	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+9	11
9	Villarreal	6	3	2	1	+5	11
10	Betis	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Ath Bilbao	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Mallorca	7	2	4	1	+1	10
13	Alaves	7	3	0	4	-4	9
14	Getafe	7	2	1	4	-1	7
15	Elche	7	1	4	2	-3	7
16	Osasuna	7	1	3	3	-6	6
17	Granada	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Celta	8	1	2	5	-5	5
19	Levante	7	0	5	2	-5	5
20	Cadiz	7	0	4	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	6	1	1	+9	19
2	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Osasuna	7	4	1	2	+2	13
4	Betis	7	4	1	2	+2	13
5	Sevilla	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Ath Madrid	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Ath Bilbao	7	1	6	0	+1	9
8	Celta	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Cadiz	7	2	2	3	-6	8
10	Granada	8	1	4	3	-4	7
11	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-4	6
12	Alaves	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Villarreal	7	0	5	2	-3	5
14	Mallorca	7	1	2	4	-9	5
15	Vallecano	7	1	1	5	-6	4
16	Elche	7	1	1	5	-6	4
17	Barcelona	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Espanol	7	0	3	4	-5	3
19	Levante	7	0	2	5	-8	2
20	Getafe	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.