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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Cercle Brugge
T U T U T
3–1
Full-time
Mechelen
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 16/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
13%
50%
Points per game
0,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
56%
64%
Both score Ø 70%
75%
64%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
18 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 19. · Mechelen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 14 11 1 2 +26 34
2 Anderlecht 13 6 6 1 +14 24
3 Genk 14 7 3 4 +11 24
4 Kortrijk 16 6 6 4 +3 24
5 Charleroi 13 6 5 2 +9 23
6 Antwerp 13 7 2 4 +6 23
7 Mechelen 14 7 2 5 +1 23
8 Standard 16 6 5 5 -5 23
9 Club Brugge 12 6 4 2 +6 22
10 Eupen 16 6 3 7 +1 21
11 St Truiden 17 6 3 8 -8 21
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17 4 8 5 -6 20
13 Oostende 16 6 2 8 -12 20
14 Seraing 16 6 1 9 -7 19
15 Seraing United 16 6 1 9 -7 19
16 Gent 13 4 4 5 +3 16
17 Waregem 16 3 5 8 -16 14
18 Beerschot VA 16 3 3 10 -10 12
19 Cercle Brugge 16 2 4 10 -9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Mechelen
30′
🔁 S. Oum Gouet
↦ G. Hairemans
1–0 E. Utkus
D. Hotič
34′
43′
N. Storm 1–1
K. Mrabti
Half-time 1–1
60′
🟨 Lucas Bijker
2–1 D. Hotič
63′
Leonardo Lopes 🟨
64′
69′
🔁 I. Swers
↦ L. Bijker
69′
🔁 M. Shved
↦ R. Schoofs
70′
🔁 G. Engvall
↦ H. Cuypers
Sousa 🔁
↦ O. Deman
75′
3–1 R. Matondo
D. Hotič
77′
81′
🔁 I. de Camargo
↦ K. Mrabti
82′
🟨 Vinicius De Souza Costa
C. Vanhoutte 🔁
↦ Leonardo Lopes
83′
Álex Millán 🔁
↦ T. Somers
83′
Vitinho 🔁
↦ D. Hotič
89′
Waldo Rubio 🔁
↦ R. Matondo
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-4-2
1 T. Didillon G
19 D. Velkovski D
4 J. Daland D
8 R. Decostere D
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
6 E. Utkus D
23 O. Deman F
10 D. Hotič M
11 R. Matondo M
34 T. Somers F
Bench (7)
3 Sousa
14 C. Vanhoutte
29 Álex Millán
2 Vitinho
7 Waldo Rubio
98 F. Kanoute
89 S. Bruzzese

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
4 S. Bateau D
3 L. Bijker D
5 S. Walsh D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
33 Vinicius Souza M
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
14 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
17 S. Oum Gouet
2 I. Swers
35 M. Shved
20 G. Engvall
10 I. de Camargo
8 O. Kaya
15 Y. Thoelen

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,40
U
3,58
B
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.