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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
Bochum
S S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Freiburg
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
25%
58%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 6
10 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 14. · Freiburg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 9 1 2 +28 28
2 Dortmund 12 9 0 3 +12 27
3 Freiburg 12 6 4 2 +7 22
4 Leverkusen 12 6 3 3 +8 21
5 Union Berlin 12 5 5 2 +2 20
6 Wolfsburg 12 6 2 4 +0 20
7 RB Leipzig 12 5 3 4 +10 18
8 M'gladbach 12 5 3 4 +3 18
9 Mainz 13 5 3 5 +3 18
10 Hoffenheim 12 5 2 5 +4 17
11 Ein Frankfurt 12 3 6 3 -2 15
12 FC Koln 12 3 6 3 -3 15
13 Stuttgart 13 3 4 6 -5 13
14 Bochum 12 4 1 7 -9 13
15 Hertha 12 4 1 7 -14 13
16 Augsburg 12 3 3 6 -10 12
17 Bielefeld 12 1 6 5 -9 9
18 Greuther Furth 12 0 1 11 -25 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Freiburg
Anthony Losilla 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–1
51′
P. Lienhart 0–1
V. Grifo
1–1 S. Polter
G. Holtmann
54′
58′
🟨 Lukas Kübler
M. Pantović 🔁
↦ G. Holtmann
65′
65′
🔁 Y. Keitel
↦ M. Eggestein
65′
🔁 E. Demirović
↦ Jeong Woo-Yeong
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ S. Polter
74′
75′
🔁 R. Sallai
↦ K. Schade
2–1 M. Pantović
82′
M. Leitsch 🔁
↦ E. Rexhbeçaj
84′
C. Antwi-Adjei 🔁
↦ T. Asano
85′
Christopher Antwi-Adjei 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bochum

4-3-3
1 M. Riemann G
24 V. Lampropoulos D
3 Danilo Soares D
16 K. Stafylidis D
8 A. Losilla M
38 E. Löwen M
20 E. Rexhbeçaj M
4 E. Mašović D
40 S. Polter F
17 G. Holtmann F
10 T. Asano F
Bench (9)
27 M. Pantović
35 S. Ganvoula
29 M. Leitsch
22 C. Antwi-Adjei
15 S. Novothny
37 A. Bella-Kotchap
2 C. Gamboa
21 M. Esser
11 H. Bockhorn

Coach: T. Reis

Freiburg

4-4-1-1
26 M. Flekken G
17 L. Kübler D
30 C. Günter D
3 P. Lienhart D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
27 N. Höfler M
32 V. Grifo M
8 M. Eggestein M
29 Jeong Woo-Yeong F
9 L. Höler F
20 K. Schade M
Bench (9)
14 Y. Keitel
11 E. Demirović
22 R. Sallai
5 M. Gulde
25 K. Sildillia
45 N. Burkart
31 K. Schlotterbeck
1 B. Uphoff
19 J. Haberer

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,26
U
3,28
B
2,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.