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Primeira Liga
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Arouca
T T U S U
2–1
Full-time
Boavista
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
18%
18%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arouca 13. · Boavista 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 11 9 2 0 +21 29
2 Sp Lisbon 11 9 2 0 +13 29
3 Benfica 11 9 1 1 +20 28
4 Estoril 11 5 5 1 +7 20
5 Portimonense 12 6 2 4 +4 20
6 Sp Braga 11 5 4 2 +3 19
7 Guimaraes 11 4 4 3 +3 16
8 Gil Vicente 12 3 5 4 +0 14
9 Tondela 11 4 0 7 -4 12
10 Pacos Ferreira 11 2 5 4 -5 11
11 Boavista 11 2 5 4 -6 11
12 Famalicao 12 2 4 6 -4 10
13 Arouca 11 2 4 5 -6 10
14 Vizela 11 1 7 3 -7 10
15 Moreirense 12 1 6 5 -8 9
16 Belenenses 11 1 5 5 -8 8
17 Maritimo 11 1 4 6 -7 7
18 Santa Clara 11 1 3 7 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arouca Boavista
1–0 Oday Dabagh
Arsénio
11′
29′
🟨 Yusupha Njie
36′
🟨 Ilija Vukotić
Half-time 1–0
Oday Dabbagh 🟨
49′
54′
P. Musa 1–1
Y. Hamache
André Bukia 🟨
67′
Pité 🔁
↦ Leandro Silva
68′
Gastón Campi 🟨
69′
71′
🟨 Gaius Makouta
76′
🔁 Tiago Morais
↦ K. Gorré
Antony 🔁
↦ Arsénio
78′
79′
🔁 Tomás Reymão
↦ I. Vukotić
Tiago Araújo 🔁
↦ A. Bukia
87′
Eugeni Valderrama 🔁
↦ Pedro Moreira
87′
89′
🟨 Pedro Malheiro
89′
🔁 Luís Santos
↦ Gustavo Sauer
89′
🔁 Filipe Ferreira
↦ Y. Hamache
2–1 Antony
Oday Dabagh
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Arouca

4-3-3
30 N. Haymamba G
72 Thales D
22 G. Campi D
6 Quaresma D
13 João Basso D
20 Pedro Moreira M
21 Leandro Silva M
18 E. Kouassi M
8 Arsénio F
10 A. Bukia F
15 Oday Dabagh F
Bench (9)
14 Pité
27 Antony
78 Tiago Araújo
23 Eugeni Valderrama
1 Victor Braga
31 Tiago Esgaio
3 Brunão
9 O. Altman
11 Adílio Santos

Coach: Armando Evangelista

Boavista

4-2-3-1
90 A. Beiranvand G
25 Y. Hamache D
21 J. Porozo D
22 Nathan D
42 G. Makouta M
18 I. Vukotić M
7 K. Gorré M
8 Gustavo Sauer M
9 P. Musa F
11 Y. Njie M
79 Pedro Malheiro D
Bench (9)
73 Tiago Morais
14 Tomás Reymão
77 Luís Santos
20 Filipe Ferreira
80 Berna
1 Rafael Bracali
17 Manuel Namora
13 Guito
36 P. Ntep

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,04
U
3,36
B
3,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.