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Serie A

Referee: J Sacchi

Empoli

S T S U T

2–1

Full-time

Fiorentina

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 46%

38%

54%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

69%

Both score Ø 58%

62%

54%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 7

8 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 12. · Fiorentina 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	13	10	2	1	+19	32
2	Milan	13	10	2	1	+14	32
3	Inter	13	8	4	1	+17	28
4	Atalanta	13	7	4	2	+10	25
5	Roma	13	7	1	5	+8	22
6	Lazio	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Fiorentina	13	7	0	6	+3	21
8	Juventus	13	6	3	4	+3	21
9	Verona	13	5	4	4	+5	19
10	Bologna	13	5	3	5	-5	18
11	Torino	13	5	2	6	+4	17
12	Empoli	13	5	1	7	-6	16
13	Sassuolo	13	4	3	6	-1	15
14	Venezia	13	4	3	6	-7	15
15	Udinese	13	3	5	5	-4	14
16	Sampdoria	13	3	3	7	-8	12
17	Spezia	13	3	2	8	-16	11
18	Genoa	13	1	6	6	-9	9
19	Cagliari	14	1	5	8	-13	8
20	Salernitana	14	2	2	10	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+9	16
4	Verona	7	5	0	2	+7	15
5	Inter	6	4	2	0	+12	14
6	Torino	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Roma	6	4	1	1	+5	13
8	Bologna	7	4	1	2	+4	13
9	Fiorentina	6	4	0	2	+5	12
10	Juventus	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Atalanta	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Udinese	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Sassuolo	7	2	2	3	+0	8
14	Venezia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Spezia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Sampdoria	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Empoli	7	1	1	5	-9	4
19	Salernitana	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Genoa	6	0	3	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Atalanta	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Milan	7	5	1	1	+5	16
4	Inter	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Empoli	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Juventus	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Roma	7	3	0	4	+3	9
8	Fiorentina	7	3	0	4	-2	9
9	Venezia	8	2	2	4	-7	8
10	Sassuolo	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Sampdoria	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Genoa	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Udinese	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Lazio	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Bologna	6	1	2	3	-9	5
16	Verona	6	0	4	2	-2	4
17	Torino	6	1	1	4	-3	4
18	Salernitana	7	1	1	5	-9	4
19	Spezia	7	1	1	5	-15	4
20	Cagliari	6	0	2	4	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.