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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Motherwell
U T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Rangers
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 59%
40%
78%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
60%
89%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,6
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
5 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 8. · Rangers 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 10 9 0 1 +29 27
2 Rangers 9 7 1 1 +16 22
3 Hibernian 11 5 2 4 -1 17
4 St Mirren 10 5 1 4 -3 16
5 Livingston 10 5 0 5 -4 15
6 Hearts 9 4 2 3 +1 14
7 Aberdeen 9 4 1 4 +3 13
8 Motherwell 10 4 1 5 +1 13
9 ST Johnstone 11 3 1 7 -5 10
10 Kilmarnock 11 2 3 6 -11 9
11 Dundee United 11 2 3 6 -13 9
12 Ross County 11 2 3 6 -13 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Rangers
33′
🟨 Scott Arfield
Sean Goss 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
53′
M. Tillman 0–1
J. Tavernier
Kevin van Veen 🟨
55′
B. Mugabi 🔁
↦ R. Lamie
58′
65′
🔁 S. Wright
↦ R. Matondo
65′
🔁 S. Davis
↦ S. Arfield
69′
J. Lundstram 0–2
B. Barišić
74′
🟨 Scott Wright
75′
🟨 James Tavernier
1–2 S. McKinstry
77′
81′
🔁 A. Morelos
↦ A. Čolak
87′
🟨 Leon King
D. Cornelius 🔁
↦ C. Slattery
89′
Dean Cornelius 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
15 S. Johansen D
4 R. Lamie D
24 M. Penney D
8 C. Slattery M
27 S. Goss M
23 J. Morris M
26 R. Tierney M
17 S. McKinstry M
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (8)
5 B. Mugabi
18 D. Cornelius
38 L. Miller
47 L. Ross
6 B. Maguire
13 A. Oxborough
2 S. O'Donnell
49 M. Ferrie

Coach: S. Hammell

Rangers

4-2-3-1
1 A. McGregor G
2 J. Tavernier D
38 L. King D
26 B. Davies D
31 B. Barišić D
37 S. Arfield M
4 J. Lundstram M
17 R. Matondo M
71 M. Tillman M
14 R. Kent M
9 A. Čolak F
Bench (9)
23 S. Wright
10 S. Davis
20 A. Morelos
3 R. Yılmaz
30 F. Sakala
44 A. Devine
29 C. McCann
33 J. McLaughlin
19 J. Sands

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,86
U
4,80
B ✓
1,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.