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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

St Mirren

S T U S T

2–5

Full-time

Celtic

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 59%

36%

82%

Points per game

1,2

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

68%

75%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

29%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,9

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

24% Possession 76%

14 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 3

4 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Mirren 9. · Celtic 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	28	23	3	2	+67	72
2	Rangers	29	18	5	6	+33	59
3	Aberdeen	28	12	5	11	-8	41
4	Hibernian	28	10	10	8	+3	40
5	Dundee United	28	11	7	10	+0	40
6	Motherwell	29	11	4	14	-14	37
7	Hearts	28	10	6	12	+2	36
8	Ross County	29	9	8	12	-18	35
9	St Mirren	28	10	4	14	-9	34
10	Kilmarnock	29	8	7	14	-14	31
11	Dundee	29	7	7	15	-20	28
12	ST Johnstone	29	7	4	18	-22	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	13	1	0	+45	40
2	Rangers	15	12	1	2	+28	37
3	Aberdeen	14	8	2	4	+5	26
4	Hibernian	14	6	5	3	+6	23
5	Kilmarnock	14	6	4	4	+3	22
6	Hearts	14	6	3	5	+3	21
7	Dundee United	14	6	3	5	+3	21
8	Motherwell	14	6	3	5	-4	21
9	Ross County	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	St Mirren	14	5	3	6	+0	18
11	Dundee	15	4	4	7	-5	16
12	ST Johnstone	14	4	1	9	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	10	2	2	+22	32
2	Rangers	14	6	4	4	+5	22
3	Dundee United	14	5	4	5	-3	19
4	Hibernian	14	4	5	5	-3	17
5	St Mirren	14	5	1	8	-9	16
6	Motherwell	15	5	1	9	-10	16
7	Hearts	14	4	3	7	-1	15
8	Aberdeen	14	4	3	7	-13	15
9	Ross County	14	4	3	7	-16	15
10	ST Johnstone	15	3	3	9	-13	12
11	Dundee	14	3	3	8	-15	12
12	Kilmarnock	15	2	3	10	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.