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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Dundee United
T T T T T
1–3
Full-time
Aberdeen
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,3
3,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-2,3
This season — Premiership · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
19%
41%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
58%
67%
Both score Ø 47%
42%
52%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
24 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 12. · Aberdeen 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 26 24 1 1 +64 73
2 Rangers 27 21 4 2 +40 67
3 Hearts 27 13 6 8 +11 45
4 Hibernian 27 12 4 11 +4 40
5 St Mirren 27 10 7 10 -7 37
6 Aberdeen 27 11 2 14 -11 35
7 Livingston 27 10 5 12 -14 35
8 ST Johnstone 28 9 4 15 -15 31
9 Motherwell 28 8 6 14 -6 30
10 Ross County 28 6 6 16 -17 24
11 Kilmarnock 28 6 6 16 -27 24
12 Dundee United 26 5 5 16 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Nov -22 Aberdeen – Dundee United 1–0 8. Oct -22 Dundee United – Aberdeen 4–0 26. Feb -22 Aberdeen – Dundee United 1–1 20. Nov -21 Dundee United – Aberdeen 1–0 1. Aug -21 Aberdeen – Dundee United 2–0

Match report

Dundee United Aberdeen
Half-time 0–1
56′
⚽ Duk 0–1
63′
🟨 Jay Gorter
Scott McMann 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 J. Hayes
↦ R. Duncan
68′
🔁 L. Scales
↦ M. Pollock
S. Anaku 🔁
↦ I. Harkes
70′
A. Djoum 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
70′
Kieran Freeman 🟨
71′
1–1 J. McGrath ⚽
73′
77′
🟨 Ross McCrorie
80′
⚽ R. McCrorie 1–2
L. Clarkson
83′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ B. Miovski
83′
⚽ M. Watkins 1–3
L. Clarkson
84′
🟨 Marley Watkins
92′
🔁 H. Coulson
↦ Duk
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-2-1
1 M. Birighitti G
12 R. Edwards D
4 C. Mulgrew D
3 S. McMann D
22 K. Freeman M
14 C. Sibbald M
19 D. Levitt M
16 A. Behich M
23 I. Harkes F
18 J. McGrath F
9 S. Fletcher F
Bench (9)
20 S. Anaku
10 A. Djoum
44 R. MacLeod
6 R. Graham
25 K. Fotheringham
7 I. Niskanen
2 L. Smith
31 J. Newman
27 L. Ayina

Coach: J. Goodwin

Aberdeen

4-3-3
19 J. Gorter G
2 R. McCrorie D
27 A. MacDonald D
18 M. Pollock D
3 J. MacKenzie D
16 Y. Ramadani M
20 L. Clarkson M
6 G. Shinnie M
23 R. Duncan F
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
17 J. Hayes
4 L. Scales
15 M. Watkins
22 H. Coulson
14 P. Myslovič
36 A. Bavidge
1 J. Lewis
10 D. Markanday
33 M. Kennedy

Coach: B. Robson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,13
🔒
U
3,40
🔒
B ✓
2,23
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,96
🔒
U2,5
1,83
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.