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Premiership

Referee: R Hardie

Falkirk

T U T U S

2–1

Full-time

Dundee

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Falkirk Dundee

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Premiership · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 24%

25%

22%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 60%

75%

44%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%

12 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Falkirk 8. · Dundee 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	8	7	1	0	+13	+0.8	22
2	Celtic	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.5	17
3	Hibernian	8	2	5	1	+4	+1.1	11
4	Dundee United	8	2	4	2	+1	-1.0	10
5	Kilmarnock	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.1	10
6	Rangers	8	1	6	1	-1	-0.9	9
7	St Mirren	8	2	3	3	-2	-1.5	9
8	Falkirk	8	2	3	3	-4	-0.7	9
9	Dundee	9	2	3	4	-5	-2.0	9
10	Motherwell	8	1	5	2	+0	+1.8	8
11	Aberdeen	8	2	1	5	-4	-0.6	7
12	Livingston	9	1	3	5	-8	+0.6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	3	1	0	+6	-0.1	10
2	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
3	Dundee	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.8	7
4	Hibernian	4	1	3	0	+4	+0.3	6
5	Motherwell	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.0	5
6	St Mirren	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
7	Kilmarnock	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.2	5
8	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.7	4
9	Dundee United	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
10	Livingston	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.8	3
11	Falkirk	4	0	3	1	-1	+0.1	3
12	Rangers	4	0	3	1	-2	+1.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	4	0	0	+7	+0.9	12
2	Celtic	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.7	7
3	Dundee United	4	1	3	0	+2	-0.1	6
4	Rangers	4	1	3	0	+1	-2.0	6
5	Falkirk	4	2	0	2	-3	-0.8	6
6	Kilmarnock	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.3	5
7	Hibernian	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.8	5
8	St Mirren	4	1	1	2	-2	-1.8	4
9	Motherwell	4	0	3	1	-1	-0.2	3
10	Aberdeen	4	1	0	3	-5	+0.1	3
11	Livingston	6	0	3	3	-8	-0.2	3
12	Dundee	4	0	2	2	-5	-1.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.