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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

Rangers

U S U U S

4–1

Full-time

Aberdeen

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

2,5

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 40%

53%

27%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 47%

57%

37%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,64 xG 0,54

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

15 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rangers 3. · Aberdeen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	31	20	6	5	+28	+12.7	66
2	Celtic	30	19	4	7	+24	+18.4	61
3	Rangers	30	16	12	2	+27	+13.9	60
4	Motherwell	31	14	12	5	+26	+12.2	54
5	Hibernian	31	12	12	7	+13	+4.0	48
6	Falkirk	31	12	7	12	-1	+4.9	43
7	Dundee United	30	7	13	10	-10	-9.9	34
8	Dundee	31	8	8	15	-18	-7.8	32
9	Aberdeen	30	8	6	16	-12	-14.4	30
10	St Mirren	31	6	9	16	-22	-3.7	27
11	Kilmarnock	31	6	9	16	-25	-13.4	27
12	Livingston	31	1	12	18	-30	-17.0	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	16	12	4	0	+20	+8.1	40
2	Motherwell	16	10	5	1	+21	+12.7	35
3	Celtic	15	11	1	3	+21	+14.6	34
4	Rangers	15	9	5	1	+15	+10.9	32
5	Hibernian	15	7	6	2	+13	+7.6	27
6	Falkirk	16	6	5	5	+6	+7.5	23
7	Dundee	15	6	4	5	-1	-4.4	22
8	Dundee United	15	4	6	5	-4	-4.7	18
9	Kilmarnock	16	5	3	8	-5	-0.9	18
10	Aberdeen	15	4	5	6	+2	-6.9	17
11	St Mirren	15	4	5	6	-8	+0.9	17
12	Livingston	15	1	6	8	-9	-6.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rangers	15	7	7	1	+12	+3.0	28
2	Celtic	15	8	3	4	+3	+3.8	27
3	Hearts	15	8	2	5	+8	+4.6	26
4	Hibernian	16	5	6	5	+0	-3.5	21
5	Falkirk	15	6	2	7	-7	-2.6	20
6	Motherwell	15	4	7	4	+5	-0.5	19
7	Dundee United	15	3	7	5	-6	-5.2	16
8	Aberdeen	15	4	1	10	-14	-7.5	13
9	St Mirren	16	2	4	10	-14	-4.5	10
10	Dundee	16	2	4	10	-17	-3.4	10
11	Kilmarnock	15	1	6	8	-20	-12.5	9
12	Livingston	16	0	6	10	-21	-10.4	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.