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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
Sturm Graz
U U U S S
0–2
Full-time
LASK
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
0,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 5. · LASK 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 6 6 0 0 +20 18
2 SK Rapid 6 5 1 0 +10 16
3 St. Polten 6 3 1 2 +6 10
4 LASK 5 3 1 1 +4 10
5 Sturm Graz 5 2 3 0 +6 9
6 Austria Vienna 6 2 1 3 -1 7
7 Wolfsberger AC 6 2 0 4 -3 6
8 Hartberg 6 1 3 2 -7 6
9 Tirol 6 1 2 3 -6 5
10 Altach 6 1 1 4 -9 4
11 Admira 6 1 1 4 -10 4
12 Ried 6 1 0 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sturm Graz LASK
6′
⚽ H. Balić 0–1
J. Eggestein
Stefan Hierländer 🟨
26′
45′
🟨 René Renner
Half-time 0–1
62′
🔁 T. Goiginger
↦ A. Gruber
62′
🔁 P. Filipović
↦ A. Andrade
68′
🔁 M. Raguž
↦ H. Balić
71′
🟨 Marko Raguž
B. Balaj 🔁
↦ K. Friesenbichler
72′
J. Gazibegović 🔁
↦ D. Nemeth
72′
82′
🔁 M. Madsen
↦ P. Michorl
P. Huspek 🔁
↦ S. Ingolitsch
83′
88′
🟨 Petar Filipović
91′
⚽ J. Eggestein 0–2
M. Madsen
D. Shabanhaxhaj 🔁
↦ I. Ljubic
92′
F. Mwepu 🔁
↦ J. Jantscher
92′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič M
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 S. Ingolitsch D
6 D. Nemeth D
44 A. Dante D
13 J. Jantscher F
25 S. Hierländer M
19 A. Kuen M
30 I. Ljubic M
20 K. Friesenbichler F
Bench (7)
9 B. Balaj
11 J. Gazibegović
18 P. Huspek
33 D. Shabanhaxhaj
29 F. Mwepu
32 T. Schützenauer
17 L. Jäger

Coach: C. Ilzer

LASK

3-4-3
1 A. Schlager G
18 G. Trauner D
26 R. Ranftl M
6 P. Wiesinger D
10 P. Michorl M
7 R. Renner M
31 L. Grgic M
14 H. Balić F
30 A. Andrade D
17 A. Gruber F
13 J. Eggestein F
Bench (7)
27 T. Goiginger
5 P. Filipović
29 M. Raguž
21 M. Madsen
19 V. Müller
22 Y. Cheberko
36 T. Gebauer

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U
–
B ✓
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.