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Bundesliga

Referee: H Lechner

Ried

S T T T

0–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 21%

25%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

100%

25%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%

3 Shots 24

0 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 11

4 Offside 10

16 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ried 9. · Sturm Graz 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	SK Rapid	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	St. Polten	4	2	1	1	+6	7
4	Austria Vienna	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	LASK	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Sturm Graz	4	1	3	0	+4	6
7	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Admira	4	1	1	2	-6	4
9	Ried	4	1	0	3	-4	3
10	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	0	3	-4	3
11	Hartberg	4	0	2	2	-8	2
12	Altach	4	0	1	3	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	LASK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Austria Vienna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Ried	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Admira	2	1	0	1	-3	3
8	St. Polten	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Tirol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
10	Altach	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Polten	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Tirol	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Austria Vienna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Sturm Graz	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Admira	2	0	1	1	-3	1
9	LASK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-6	1
11	Ried	2	0	0	2	-3	0
12	Altach	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.