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Bundesliga

Referee: F Ouschan

St. Polten

U S T S T

4–0

Full-time

Ried

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Polten Ried

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 35%

50%

20%

Points per game

1,7

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

67%

80%

Both score Ø 57%

33%

80%

Average goals

3,3

3,6

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,4

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

3,6

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,6

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 9

2 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Polten 5. · Ried 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	SK Rapid	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	LASK	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Sturm Graz	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	St. Polten	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Austria Vienna	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Tirol	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Altach	5	1	1	3	-7	4
9	Admira	5	1	1	3	-8	4
10	Wolfsberger AC	5	1	0	4	-5	3
11	Ried	5	1	0	4	-6	3
12	Hartberg	5	0	3	2	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Salzburg	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	SK Rapid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Altach	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Austria Vienna	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Ried	3	1	0	2	-3	3
8	Admira	2	1	0	1	-3	3
9	Tirol	3	0	2	1	-2	2
10	St. Polten	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Wolfsberger AC	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	SK Rapid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	St. Polten	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Sturm Graz	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Tirol	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Austria Vienna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Hartberg	3	0	2	1	-6	2
9	LASK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	Admira	3	0	1	2	-5	1
11	Ried	2	0	0	2	-3	0
12	Altach	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.