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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
Salzburg
U S U T S
5–0
Full-time
Tirol
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 50%
76%
24%
Points per game
2,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
53%
59%
Both score Ø 62%
59%
65%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 14
10 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 1. · Tirol 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 17 13 3 1 +25 42
2 Wolfsberger AC 17 9 3 5 +3 30
3 Sturm Graz 17 8 4 5 +8 28
4 A. Klagenfurt 17 6 7 4 +2 25
5 Austria Vienna 17 4 9 4 +3 21
6 SK Rapid 17 5 6 6 -1 21
7 Ried 17 5 6 6 -11 21
8 Hartberg 17 5 5 7 +0 20
9 Tirol 17 4 7 6 -5 19
10 LASK 17 4 5 8 -4 17
11 Admira 17 3 7 7 -3 16
12 Altach 17 3 4 10 -17 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg Tirol
Benjamin Šeško ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
15′
Antoine Bernede 🟨
27′
1–0 N. Capaldo ⚽
C. Adamu
30′
Half-time 1–0
L. Sučić 🔁
↦ A. Bernède
46′
K. Adeyemi 🔁
↦ C. Adamu
46′
N. Seiwald 🔁
↦ M. Diambou
46′
2–0 K. Adeyemi ⚽
49′
60′
🔁 J. Naschberger
↦ V. Müller
60′
🔁 S. Skrbo
↦ Ž. Rogelj
N. Okafor 🔁
↦ B. Šeško
63′
J. Onguéné 🔁
↦ O. Solet
72′
76′
🔁 M. Wallner
↦ T. Sabitzer
76′
🔁 D. Tomic
↦ F. Koch
3–0 K. Adeyemi ⚽
80′
4–0 K. Adeyemi ⚽
B. Aaronson
83′
5–0 N. Okafor ⚽
K. Adeyemi
85′
88′
🟨 Johannes Naschberger
88′
🔁 D. Štumberger
↦ F. Bacher
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
18 P. Köhn G
17 A. Ulmer D
43 R. Kristensen D
22 O. Solet D
4 K. Piątkowski D
10 A. Bernède M
11 B. Aaronson M
7 N. Capaldo M
15 M. Diambou M
9 C. Adamu F
30 B. Šeško F
Bench (7)
21 L. Sučić
27 K. Adeyemi
13 N. Seiwald
77 N. Okafor
6 J. Onguéné
37 D. Guindo
1 N. Mantl

Coach: M. Jaissle

Tirol

4-4-2
25 F. Oswald G
24 F. Koch M
30 R. Behounek D
15 M. Awoudja D
3 L. Klassen D
5 F. Bacher D
10 B. Blume M
4 V. Müller M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
9 G. Vrioni F
7 T. Sabitzer F
Bench (7)
17 J. Naschberger
23 S. Skrbo
27 M. Wallner
18 D. Tomic
26 D. Štumberger
8 R. Smith
13 B. Ozegovic

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.