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Eredivisie
Referee: J van der Laan
Heerenveen
T U S U S
0–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 28%
43%
13%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
43%
40%
Both score Ø 56%
64%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 8. · Sparta Rotterdam 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 15 11 3 1 +46 36
2 Feyenoord 15 11 2 2 +24 35
3 PSV Eindhoven 15 11 1 3 +16 34
4 Utrecht 15 8 3 4 +11 27
5 Cambuur 16 9 0 7 -6 27
6 Twente 15 7 4 4 +3 25
7 Vitesse 13 7 1 5 -3 22
8 Heerenveen 14 6 3 5 -1 21
9 Go Ahead Eagles 16 6 3 7 -6 21
10 AZ Alkmaar 13 6 1 6 +5 19
11 Nijmegen 15 5 4 6 -4 19
12 Groningen 15 4 6 5 -4 18
13 Willem II 16 5 3 8 -14 18
14 Waalwijk 15 3 6 6 -7 15
15 Heracles 15 4 2 9 -6 14
16 Sparta Rotterdam 15 2 4 9 -12 10
17 For Sittard 15 2 3 10 -23 9
18 Zwolle 15 1 3 11 -19 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam
Nick Bakker 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
R. Al Hajj 🔁
↦ A. Musaba
46′
S. de Jong 🔁
↦ F. Stevanović
64′
65′
🔁 K. Goudmijn
↦ Mohammed Osman
72′
🔁 V. van Crooij
↦ E. Emegha
72′
🔁 L. Jans
↦ G. Masouras
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ T. Halilović
76′
79′
🔁 M. Engels
↦ L. Thy
79′
🔁 A. Meijers
↦ M. Pinto
Rami Kaib 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
22 X. Mous G
15 N. Bakker D
4 S. van Beek D
13 R. Kaib D
27 M. van Ewijk D
10 T. Halilović M
20 J. Veerman M
29 N. Madsen M
9 H. Veerman F
11 A. Musaba F
7 F. Stevanović F
Bench (11)
17 R. Al Hajj
6 S. de Jong
8 B. Nygren
14 I. Dresevic
5 L. Woudenberg
16 A. van der Heide
2 S. van Ottele
24 J. Kroesen
23 J. Bekkema
18 H. Akujobi
21 R. Kongolo

Coach: J. Jansen

Sparta Rotterdam

3-5-2
20 T. Coremans G
3 B. Vriends D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 M. Pinto M
2 G. Masouras M
8 D. Abels M
6 A. Auassar D
10 B. Smeets M
7 Mohammed Osman M
9 L. Thy F
11 E. Emegha F
Bench (9)
18 K. Goudmijn
17 V. van Crooij
12 L. Jans
19 M. Engels
15 A. Meijers
16 S. Mijnans
14 M. Heylen
30 R. Janse
1 B. van Leer

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U ✓
3,51
B
3,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.