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Bundesliga

Referee: A Harkam

Salzburg

S U S S S

2–1

Full-time

SK Rapid

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 59%

79%

38%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

54%

58%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,6

Conceded

0,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

17 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salzburg 1. · SK Rapid 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	24	19	4	1	+41	61
2	Sturm Graz	25	12	7	6	+17	43
3	Austria Vienna	25	9	11	5	+9	38
4	Wolfsberger AC	25	11	4	10	-4	37
5	SK Rapid	24	9	8	7	+6	35
6	Ried	25	8	8	9	-11	32
7	A. Klagenfurt	25	7	10	8	-6	31
8	LASK	25	7	8	10	+3	29
9	Tirol	25	6	9	10	-17	27
10	Admira	25	5	10	10	-4	25
11	Hartberg	25	5	9	11	-7	24
12	Altach	25	4	6	15	-27	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	11	1	0	+29	34
2	Ried	12	6	5	1	+5	23
3	Sturm Graz	12	6	4	2	+9	22
4	Wolfsberger AC	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Austria Vienna	13	5	6	2	+6	21
6	SK Rapid	12	6	2	4	+7	20
7	A. Klagenfurt	12	4	6	2	+0	18
8	LASK	13	4	4	5	+4	16
9	Tirol	12	2	7	3	+1	13
10	Admira	12	3	2	7	-1	11
11	Hartberg	13	2	5	6	-5	11
12	Altach	13	1	4	8	-15	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	12	8	3	1	+12	27
2	Sturm Graz	13	6	3	4	+8	21
3	Austria Vienna	12	4	5	3	+3	17
4	SK Rapid	12	3	6	3	-1	15
5	Wolfsberger AC	12	4	3	5	-5	15
6	Admira	13	2	8	3	-3	14
7	Tirol	13	4	2	7	-18	14
8	LASK	12	3	4	5	-1	13
9	Hartberg	12	3	4	5	-2	13
10	A. Klagenfurt	13	3	4	6	-6	13
11	Altach	12	3	2	7	-12	11
12	Ried	13	2	3	8	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.