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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Augsburg
T T U S T
3–0
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 28%
23%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 52%
62%
41%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 15. · Wolfsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 28 21 3 4 +56 66
2 Dortmund 28 18 3 7 +26 57
3 Leverkusen 28 15 6 7 +26 51
4 RB Leipzig 28 14 6 8 +30 48
5 Freiburg 28 12 9 7 +11 45
6 Hoffenheim 28 13 5 10 +8 44
7 Union Berlin 28 11 8 9 -4 41
8 FC Koln 28 10 10 8 -3 40
9 Ein Frankfurt 28 10 9 9 +1 39
10 Mainz 26 11 4 11 +9 37
11 Bochum 28 10 5 13 -10 35
12 M'gladbach 27 9 6 12 -13 33
13 Wolfsburg 27 9 4 14 -13 31
14 Stuttgart 28 6 9 13 -15 27
15 Augsburg 26 6 8 12 -15 26
16 Bielefeld 28 5 11 12 -16 26
17 Hertha 28 7 5 16 -32 26
18 Greuther Furth 28 3 7 18 -46 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Wolfsburg
1–0 Iago
M. Pedersen
1′
Niklas Dorsch 🟨
3′
Half-time 1–0
C. Gruezo 🔁
↦ N. Dorsch
46′
2–0 F. Niederlechner
R. Oxford
62′
65′
🔁 D. Lukébakio
↦ S. Bornauw
3–0 M. Pedersen
F. Niederlechner
69′
A. Zeqiri 🔁
↦ M. Pedersen
72′
74′
🔁 R. Baku
↦ K. Mbabu
74′
🔁 A. Vranckx
↦ M. Arnold
75′
🔁 Y. Gerhardt
↦ X. Schlager
A. Hahn 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
81′
J. Morávek 🔁
↦ A. Maier
89′
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ R. Pepi
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Augsburg

3-4-2-1
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
3 M. Pedersen F
4 R. Oxford D
2 R. Gumny D
22 Iago M
20 D. Caligiuri M
30 N. Dorsch M
10 A. Maier M
7 F. Niederlechner F
18 R. Pepi F
Bench (9)
8 C. Gruezo
21 A. Zeqiri
28 A. Hahn
14 J. Morávek
27 A. Finnbogason
32 R. Framberger
26 F. Winther
29 L. Günther
40 T. Koubek

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Wolfsburg

3-4-2-1
12 P. Pervan G
25 J. Brooks D
19 K. Mbabu M
3 S. Bornauw D
4 M. Lacroix D
27 M. Arnold M
11 R. Steffen M
24 X. Schlager M
9 M. Kruse F
10 L. Nmecha F
23 J. Wind F
Bench (9)
28 D. Lukébakio
20 R. Baku
8 A. Vranckx
31 Y. Gerhardt
40 K. Paredes
21 B. Białek
17 M. Philipp
22 F. Nmecha
30 N. Klinger

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,97
U
3,29
B
2,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.