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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Sparta Rotterdam

T S T S U

1–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 24%

16%

31%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

40%

38%

Both score Ø 45%

44%

46%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

8 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

4 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 17. · Heerenveen 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	28	22	3	3	+69	69
2	PSV Eindhoven	28	21	2	5	+37	65
3	Feyenoord	28	18	4	6	+36	58
4	Twente	28	16	7	5	+11	55
5	AZ Alkmaar	25	15	3	7	+18	48
6	Utrecht	26	11	7	8	+9	40
7	Groningen	28	9	9	10	-4	36
8	Vitesse	23	11	3	9	-8	36
9	Go Ahead Eagles	28	9	6	13	-12	33
10	Cambuur	27	10	3	14	-15	33
11	Nijmegen	27	8	8	11	-10	32
12	Heerenveen	26	8	6	12	-10	30
13	Waalwijk	28	6	10	12	-13	28
14	Heracles	27	7	6	14	-10	27
15	Willem II	28	6	5	17	-25	23
16	For Sittard	26	6	4	16	-32	22
17	Sparta Rotterdam	25	4	9	12	-18	21
18	Zwolle	28	5	5	18	-23	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	1	2	+45	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	11	0	3	+22	33
3	Feyenoord	14	10	2	2	+22	32
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	2	2	+15	29
5	Twente	14	8	5	1	+11	29
6	Heracles	14	7	4	3	+6	25
7	Utrecht	13	7	3	3	+11	24
8	Go Ahead Eagles	14	6	1	7	-1	19
9	Groningen	14	4	6	4	+0	18
10	Cambuur	13	5	1	7	-4	16
11	Willem II	14	4	3	7	-8	15
12	Waalwijk	14	4	3	7	-10	15
13	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-5	14
14	Sparta Rotterdam	14	3	5	6	-7	14
15	For Sittard	12	4	2	6	-10	14
16	Vitesse	11	4	1	6	-9	13
17	Nijmegen	13	2	5	6	-6	11
18	Zwolle	14	2	4	8	-7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	2	1	+24	35
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	2	2	+15	32
3	Feyenoord	14	8	2	4	+14	26
4	Twente	14	8	2	4	+0	26
5	Vitesse	12	7	2	3	+1	23
6	Nijmegen	14	6	3	5	-4	21
7	AZ Alkmaar	12	6	1	5	+3	19
8	Groningen	14	5	3	6	-4	18
9	Cambuur	14	5	2	7	-11	17
10	Utrecht	13	4	4	5	-2	16
11	Heerenveen	13	4	4	5	-5	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	14	3	5	6	-11	14
13	Waalwijk	14	2	7	5	-3	13
14	Zwolle	14	3	1	10	-16	10
15	Willem II	14	2	2	10	-17	8
16	For Sittard	14	2	2	10	-22	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	4	6	-11	7
18	Heracles	13	0	2	11	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.