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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Montpellier
S T T U S
1–2
Full-time
Brest
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 36%
41%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
62%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 11. · Brest 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 29 20 5 4 +32 65
2 Rennes 30 16 5 9 +35 53
3 Marseille 29 15 8 6 +18 53
4 Nice 30 15 7 8 +16 52
5 Strasbourg 30 14 9 7 +19 51
6 Lille 30 12 11 7 +3 47
7 Monaco 29 12 8 9 +13 44
8 Lens 30 12 8 10 +5 44
9 Lyon 29 11 10 8 +3 43
10 Nantes 29 12 6 11 +5 42
11 Montpellier 29 12 5 12 +3 41
12 Reims 29 8 12 9 +1 36
13 Brest 29 9 8 12 -7 35
14 Angers 29 8 8 13 -9 32
15 Troyes 29 7 8 14 -15 29
16 Lorient 29 6 10 13 -19 28
17 Clermont 29 7 7 15 -23 28
18 St Etienne 29 6 9 14 -22 27
19 Metz 29 4 11 14 -26 23
20 Bordeaux 30 4 11 15 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Brest
7′
🟨 Martín Satriano
30′
🟨 Christophe Herelle
Stephy Mavididi 🟨
32′
Mamadou Sakho 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
L. Leroy 🔁
↦ J. Chotard
64′
66′
🟨 Brendan Chardonnet
69′
M. Satriano 0–1
R. Del Castillo
E. Wahi 🔁
↦ F. Mollet
73′
79′
F. Honorat 0–2
B. Makouana 🔁
↦ S. Mavididi
83′
N. Gioacchini 🔁
↦ S. Sambia
83′
E. Tchato 🔁
↦ V. Germain
83′
84′
🔁 S. Mounié
↦ M. Satriano
90′
🔁 L. Agoume
↦ R. Del Castillo
92′
🟨 Lilian Brassier
1–2 T. Savanier
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
3 M. Sakho D
2 A. Souquet D
14 M. Esteve D
12 J. Ferri M
25 F. Mollet M
11 T. Savanier M
6 S. Sambia D
13 J. Chotard M
9 V. Germain F
10 S. Mavididi M
Bench (9)
18 L. Leroy
21 E. Wahi
28 B. Makouana
23 N. Gioacchini
34 E. Tchato
8 A. Oyongo
16 D. Bertaud
15 G. Barès
26 Thuler

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Brest

4-4-2
40 M. Bizot G
22 J. Faussurier M
23 C. Hérelle D
5 B. Chardonnet D
2 J. Duverne D
3 L. Brassier D
8 P. Lasne M
7 H. Belkebla M
9 F. Honorat F
25 R. Del Castillo M
11 M. Satriano
Bench (9)
15 S. Mounié
10 L. Agoume
17 D. Bain
27 H. Magnetti
1 G. Larsonneur
14 I. Cardona
20 J. Uronen
19 R. Said Ahamada
28 H. Mananga Mbock

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U
3,53
B ✓
3,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.