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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Paris SG

T S T S T

5–1

Full-time

Lorient

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 45%

69%

21%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

59%

34%

Both score Ø 52%

55%

48%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

67% Possession 33%

15 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Lorient 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	29	20	5	4	+32	65
2	Marseille	30	16	8	6	+20	56
3	Rennes	30	16	5	9	+35	53
4	Nice	30	15	7	8	+16	52
5	Strasbourg	30	14	9	7	+19	51
6	Monaco	30	13	8	9	+14	47
7	Lille	30	12	11	7	+3	47
8	Lyon	30	12	10	8	+4	46
9	Nantes	30	13	6	11	+6	45
10	Lens	30	12	8	10	+5	44
11	Montpellier	30	12	5	13	+2	41
12	Brest	30	10	8	12	-6	38
13	Reims	30	8	12	10	+0	36
14	Angers	30	8	8	14	-10	32
15	Troyes	30	8	8	14	-14	32
16	Lorient	29	6	10	13	-19	28
17	Clermont	30	7	7	16	-24	28
18	St Etienne	30	6	9	15	-24	27
19	Metz	30	4	11	15	-27	23
20	Bordeaux	30	4	11	15	-32	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	13	1	0	+27	40
2	Rennes	15	11	1	3	+29	34
3	Strasbourg	15	9	3	3	+16	30
4	Nantes	15	9	2	4	+10	29
5	Lyon	16	8	5	3	+8	29
6	Monaco	15	8	4	3	+16	28
7	Lens	15	7	5	3	+10	26
8	Nice	15	7	4	4	+4	25
9	Lille	15	6	7	2	+3	25
10	Montpellier	16	7	3	6	+5	24
11	Marseille	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Angers	15	6	1	8	-2	19
13	Reims	14	4	6	4	+5	18
14	Troyes	15	4	6	5	+0	18
15	Brest	14	5	3	6	-1	18
16	Lorient	14	4	5	5	-3	17
17	St Etienne	16	3	6	7	-11	15
18	Clermont	15	3	5	7	-6	14
19	Bordeaux	15	2	5	8	-9	11
20	Metz	15	1	6	8	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	15	10	3	2	+13	33
2	Nice	15	8	3	4	+12	27
3	Paris SG	15	7	4	4	+5	25
4	Lille	15	6	4	5	+0	22
5	Strasbourg	15	5	6	4	+3	21
6	Brest	16	5	5	6	-5	20
7	Rennes	15	5	4	6	+6	19
8	Monaco	15	5	4	6	-2	19
9	Lens	15	5	3	7	-5	18
10	Reims	16	4	6	6	-5	18
11	Montpellier	14	5	2	7	-3	17
12	Lyon	14	4	5	5	-4	17
13	Nantes	15	4	4	7	-4	16
14	Troyes	15	4	2	9	-14	14
15	Metz	15	3	5	7	-16	14
16	Clermont	15	4	2	9	-18	14
17	Angers	15	2	7	6	-8	13
18	St Etienne	14	3	3	8	-13	12
19	Bordeaux	15	2	6	7	-23	12
20	Lorient	15	2	5	8	-16	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.