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Serie B

Crotone

T U T S T

1–1

Full-time

Perugia

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 23%

10%

35%

Points per game

0,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

48%

29%

Both score Ø 52%

55%

48%

Average goals

2,6

1,9

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

15 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 5

6 Corners 3

25 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 19. · Perugia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	32	17	9	6	+18	60
2	Lecce	32	15	14	3	+23	59
3	Pisa	32	16	10	6	+12	58
4	Monza	31	16	9	6	+21	57
5	Benevento	31	15	9	7	+22	54
6	Brescia	31	14	12	5	+15	54
7	Ascoli	32	15	7	10	+5	52
8	Frosinone	32	13	12	7	+15	51
9	Perugia	31	11	13	7	+6	46
10	Cittadella	32	11	11	10	+2	44
11	Ternana	32	12	8	12	+0	44
12	Reggina	32	12	8	12	-8	44
13	Parma	32	9	15	8	+6	42
14	Como	31	9	14	8	-3	41
15	Spal	32	7	12	13	-11	33
16	Alessandria	32	6	8	18	-23	26
17	Vicenza	31	6	6	19	-21	24
18	Cosenza	31	5	9	17	-23	24
19	Crotone	31	3	10	18	-20	19
20	Pordenone	32	2	8	22	-36	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	16	11	3	2	+18	36
2	Lecce	16	10	5	1	+19	35
3	Cremonese	16	9	6	1	+12	33
4	Pisa	16	9	6	1	+11	33
5	Benevento	16	9	4	3	+19	31
6	Frosinone	16	8	6	2	+15	30
7	Reggina	16	8	2	6	+0	26
8	Ternana	16	8	1	7	+5	25
9	Ascoli	16	6	5	5	+1	23
10	Brescia	15	5	7	3	+4	22
11	Cittadella	16	6	4	6	+4	22
12	Parma	16	4	8	4	+5	20
13	Como	15	4	7	4	+1	19
14	Perugia	16	4	7	5	+1	19
15	Cosenza	15	5	3	7	-4	18
16	Alessandria	16	4	5	7	-8	17
17	Crotone	15	3	7	5	-2	16
18	Vicenza	16	4	4	8	-4	16
19	Spal	16	3	6	7	-1	15
20	Pordenone	16	1	6	9	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	16	9	5	2	+11	32
2	Ascoli	16	9	2	5	+4	29
3	Cremonese	16	8	3	5	+6	27
4	Perugia	15	7	6	2	+5	27
5	Pisa	16	7	4	5	+1	25
6	Lecce	16	5	9	2	+4	24
7	Benevento	15	6	5	4	+3	23
8	Parma	16	5	7	4	+1	22
9	Cittadella	16	5	7	4	-2	22
10	Como	16	5	7	4	-4	22
11	Monza	15	5	6	4	+3	21
12	Frosinone	16	5	6	5	+0	21
13	Ternana	16	4	7	5	-5	19
14	Reggina	16	4	6	6	-8	18
15	Spal	16	4	6	6	-10	18
16	Alessandria	16	2	3	11	-15	9
17	Vicenza	15	2	2	11	-17	8
18	Cosenza	16	0	6	10	-19	6
19	Pordenone	16	1	2	13	-22	5
20	Crotone	16	0	3	13	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.