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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Wolfsberger AC
T T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 46%
46%
46%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
67%
79%
Both score Ø 61%
54%
67%
Average goals
3,1
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 4. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 24 19 4 1 +41 61
2 Sturm Graz 24 11 7 6 +15 40
3 Austria Vienna 24 9 10 5 +9 37
4 Wolfsberger AC 24 11 4 9 -2 37
5 SK Rapid 24 9 8 7 +6 35
6 Ried 25 8 8 9 -11 32
7 A. Klagenfurt 24 7 9 8 -6 30
8 LASK 25 7 8 10 +3 29
9 Tirol 25 6 9 10 -17 27
10 Admira 25 5 10 10 -4 25
11 Hartberg 25 5 9 11 -7 24
12 Altach 25 4 6 15 -27 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Oct -21 Sturm Graz – Wolfsberger AC 0–3 1. Aug -21 Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz 1–4 22. May -21 Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz 1–3 21. Apr -21 Sturm Graz – Wolfsberger AC 0–1 21. Feb -21 Sturm Graz – Wolfsberger AC 1–2

Match report

Wolfsberger AC Sturm Graz
Dominik Baumgartner 🟨
23′
26′
⚽ M. Sarkaria 0–1
A. Prass
41′
🟨 Rasmus Winther Højlund
Half-time 0–2
47′
⚽ R. Højlund 0–2
M. Sarkaria
N. Veratschnig 🔁
↦ M. Novak
57′
A. Jasic 🔁
↦ C. Wernitznig
57′
65′
🔁 O. Kiteishvili
↦ A. Niangbo
70′
ℹ️ Rasmus Winther Højlund
VAR: Goal cancelled
76′
🟨 Stefan Hierländer
83′
🔁 L. Jäger
↦ S. Hierländer
85′
🔁 A. Dante
↦ A. Prass
Mario Leitgeb 🟨
86′
93′
🟨 David Affengruber
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC

4-3-1-2
31 A. Kofler G
27 M. Novak D
22 D. Baumgartner D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
77 A. Dedić D
10 M. Liendl M
16 M. Leitgeb M
24 C. Wernitznig M
30 M. Taferner M
9 D. Vizinger F
11 T. Baribo F
Bench (7)
6 N. Veratschnig
97 A. Jasic
4 D. Gugganig
5 N. Pertlwieser
19 S. Sprangler
33 K. Stratznig
29 M. Kuttin

Coach: R. Dutt

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič M
5 G. Wüthrich D
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
25 S. Hierländer M
19 A. Kuen D
8 A. Prass M
15 A. Niangbo M
11 M. Sarkaria F
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (7)
10 O. Kiteishvili
17 L. Jäger
44 A. Dante
23 L. Kronberger
13 J. Jantscher
37 M. Wels
32 T. Schützenauer

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.