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Serie A

Referee: L Massimi

Fiorentina

S T U S U

1–0

Full-time

Empoli

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 29/30 matches

Win Ø 38%

48%

27%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

66%

57%

Both score Ø 63%

59%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

24 Shots 5

11 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 10

5 Corners 0

4 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Fiorentina 8. · Empoli 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	30	20	6	4	+27	66
2	Napoli	30	19	6	5	+31	63
3	Inter	29	17	9	3	+38	60
4	Juventus	30	17	8	5	+21	59
5	Lazio	31	15	7	9	+14	52
6	Atalanta	29	14	9	6	+20	51
7	Roma	30	15	6	9	+15	51
8	Fiorentina	29	14	5	10	+10	47
9	Sassuolo	31	11	10	10	+5	43
10	Verona	30	11	9	10	+8	42
11	Torino	30	10	8	12	+5	38
12	Bologna	29	9	6	14	-12	33
13	Empoli	30	8	9	13	-14	33
14	Spezia	31	9	5	17	-22	32
15	Udinese	28	6	12	10	-10	30
16	Sampdoria	30	8	5	17	-12	29
17	Cagliari	30	5	10	15	-26	25
18	Genoa	30	2	16	12	-24	22
19	Venezia	30	5	7	18	-30	22
20	Salernitana	29	3	7	19	-44	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	15	10	3	2	+23	33
2	Lazio	15	9	4	2	+16	31
3	Roma	16	9	4	3	+9	31
4	Milan	15	9	3	3	+11	30
5	Juventus	15	9	3	3	+11	30
6	Fiorentina	14	9	2	3	+16	29
7	Napoli	15	9	2	4	+14	29
8	Verona	15	8	2	5	+11	26
9	Torino	15	7	4	4	+11	25
10	Bologna	15	6	3	6	+0	21
11	Sassuolo	15	5	5	5	+0	20
12	Udinese	14	4	7	3	-2	19
13	Atalanta	14	4	6	4	+6	18
14	Spezia	15	5	3	7	-1	18
15	Sampdoria	15	4	3	8	-5	15
16	Cagliari	15	2	6	7	-10	12
17	Empoli	15	3	3	9	-15	12
18	Genoa	15	1	8	6	-9	11
19	Venezia	15	2	4	9	-15	10
20	Salernitana	15	1	5	9	-20	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	15	11	3	1	+16	36
2	Napoli	15	10	4	1	+17	34
3	Atalanta	15	10	3	2	+14	33
4	Juventus	15	8	5	2	+10	29
5	Inter	14	7	6	1	+15	27
6	Sassuolo	16	6	5	5	+5	23
7	Empoli	15	5	6	4	+1	21
8	Lazio	16	6	3	7	-2	21
9	Roma	14	6	2	6	+6	20
10	Fiorentina	15	5	3	7	-6	18
11	Verona	15	3	7	5	-3	16
12	Sampdoria	15	4	2	9	-7	14
13	Spezia	16	4	2	10	-21	14
14	Torino	15	3	4	8	-6	13
15	Cagliari	15	3	4	8	-16	13
16	Bologna	14	3	3	8	-12	12
17	Venezia	15	3	3	9	-15	12
18	Udinese	14	2	5	7	-8	11
19	Genoa	15	1	8	6	-15	11
20	Salernitana	14	2	2	10	-24	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.