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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Sturm Graz
S U T S S
1–0
Full-time
Austria Vienna
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Austria Vienna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 42%
48%
36%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
76%
36%
Both score Ø 64%
64%
64%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
18 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Austria Vienna 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 26 21 4 1 +48 67
2 Sturm Graz 25 12 7 6 +17 43
3 Austria Vienna 25 9 11 5 +9 38
4 SK Rapid 26 10 8 8 +6 38
5 Wolfsberger AC 26 11 4 11 -5 37
6 Ried 26 8 9 9 -11 33
7 A. Klagenfurt 26 7 10 9 -12 31
8 LASK 26 7 9 10 +3 30
9 Tirol 26 6 9 11 -20 27
10 Admira 26 5 11 10 -4 26
11 Hartberg 26 5 10 11 -7 25
12 Altach 26 5 6 15 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Nov -21 Austria Vienna – Sturm Graz 2–1 22. Aug -21 Sturm Graz – Austria Vienna 2–2 14. Mar -21 Sturm Graz – Austria Vienna 2–1 5. Dec -20 Austria Vienna – Sturm Graz 0–4 1. Mar -20 Sturm Graz – Austria Vienna 1–1

Match report

Sturm Graz Austria Vienna
24′
🟨 Leonardo Ivkić
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Stankovič ⚽
O. Kiteishvili
51′
58′
🟨 Eric Martel
61′
🔁 A. Jukic
↦ N. Ohio
61′
🔁 C. Keles
↦ L. Ivkić
61′
🔁 R. Vucic
↦ M. Djuricin
A. Kuen 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
70′
A. Niangbo 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
78′
81′
🔁 D. Kreiker
↦ M. Braunöder
83′
🟨 Romeo Vučić
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ J. Jantscher
86′
L. Jäger 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
86′
92′
🟨 Christian Schoissengeyr
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič M
5 G. Wüthrich D
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
44 A. Dante D
10 O. Kiteishvili M
8 A. Prass M
13 J. Jantscher M
11 M. Sarkaria F
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (7)
19 A. Kuen
15 A. Niangbo
25 S. Hierländer
17 L. Jäger
32 T. Schützenauer
16 S. Schendl
23 L. Kronberger

Coach: C. Ilzer

Austria Vienna

5-3-2
1 P. Pentz G
29 M. Suttner D
33 Lucas Galvão D
24 C. Schoissengeyr D
20 L. Mühl D
15 L. Ivkić D
30 M. Fischer M
5 E. Martel M
23 M. Braunöder M
92 M. Djuricin F
18 N. Ohio F
Bench (7)
77 A. Jukic
16 C. Keles
27 R. Vucic
14 D. Kreiker
21 A. Helac
10 A. Grünwald
11 M. Pečar

Coach: M. Schmid

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.