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Ligue 1
Referee: S Frappart
Auxerre
U T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Lille
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 39%
26%
52%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
48%
55%
Both score Ø 59%
52%
65%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
0,9
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,47 xG 3,06
30% Possession 70%
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Auxerre 14. · Lille 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 32 24 3 5 +44 +3.4 75
2 Marseille 31 19 7 5 +27 +5.8 64
3 Lens 31 18 9 4 +26 +6.6 63
4 Monaco 31 18 7 6 +23 +4.9 61
5 Lille 31 16 7 8 +17 +10.5 55
6 Rennes 31 16 5 10 +18 +1.3 53
7 Lyon 31 14 8 9 +15 +2.2 50
8 Reims 31 11 14 6 +8 +9.9 47
9 Nice 31 11 12 8 +9 +3.2 45
10 Lorient 31 12 9 10 +0 -4.5 45
11 Clermont 31 12 7 12 -9 -1.4 43
12 Toulouse 31 11 5 15 -7 +0.2 38
13 Montpellier 31 11 4 16 -5 -1.1 37
14 Auxerre 31 8 8 15 -23 +1.2 32
15 Nantes 31 6 13 12 -11 -4.7 31
16 Brest 31 7 10 14 -13 -9.2 31
17 Strasbourg 31 6 11 14 -12 +0.9 29
18 Troyes 31 4 9 18 -28 -15.7 21
19 Ajaccio 31 6 3 22 -36 -3.3 21
20 Angers 32 3 5 24 -43 -10.2 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Aug -22 Lille – Auxerre 4–1

Match report

Auxerre Lille
27′
🟨 José Fonte
34′
ℹ️ André Gomes
VAR: Penalty confirmed
36′
J. David 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Niang
62′
M. Autret 🔁
↦ Nuno da Costa
75′
G. Perrin 🔁
↦ G. Hein
75′
78′
🔁 T. Weah
↦ J. Bamba
M. Abline 🔁
↦ M. Niang
82′
87′
🔁 M. Bayo
↦ Ismaily
91′
🔁 C. Baleba
↦ A. Gomes
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Auxerre

3-4-2-1
16 D. Léon G
27 J. Jeanvier D
4 Jubal D
95 S. Touré D
97 R. Raveloson M
6 Y. M'Changama M
12 B. Touré M
14 G. Mensah M
7 G. Hein F
9 Nuno da Costa F
11 M. Niang F
Bench (9)
29 M. Autret
10 G. Perrin
19 M. Abline
22 H. Sakhi
35 K. Danois
5 T. Pellenard
17 L. Sinayoko
40 T. De Percin
77 S. Dembélé

Coach: C. Pélissier

Lille

4-2-3-1
30 L. Chevalier G
18 B. Diakité D
6 José Fonte D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
31 Ismaily D
20 A. Gomes M
28 André Gomes M
23 E. Zhegrova M
10 R. Cabella M
7 J. Bamba M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
22 T. Weah
27 M. Bayo
35 C. Baleba
8 J. Martin
26 A. Virginius
15 L. Yoro
25 B. Costil
5 G. Gudmundsson
16 A. Jakubech

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,74
U ✓
3,90
B
1,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.