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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Lasyk

Pogon Szczecin

S U U S S

4–2

Full-time

Stal Mielec

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Ekstraklasa · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 39%

46%

32%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

57%

29%

Both score Ø 50%

64%

36%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%

16 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 4. · Stal Mielec 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	29	21	5	3	+37	68
2	Legia	29	16	9	4	+14	57
3	Lech Poznan	28	13	9	6	+13	48
4	Pogon Szczecin	28	13	8	7	+4	47
5	Warta Poznan	29	12	8	9	+8	44
6	Cracovia	29	11	8	10	+7	41
7	Piast Gliwice	28	11	6	11	+3	39
8	Widzew Lodz	28	10	8	10	-1	38
9	Jagiellonia	29	8	12	9	+3	36
10	Wisla Plock	29	10	6	13	-1	36
11	Stal Mielec	28	9	8	11	-2	35
12	Radomiak Radom	28	9	7	12	-6	34
13	Korona Kielce	28	9	7	12	-8	34
14	Gornik Zabrze	28	8	8	12	-5	32
15	Slask Wroclaw	28	7	10	11	-12	31
16	Zaglebie	28	8	7	13	-16	31
17	Lechia Gdansk	29	7	5	17	-20	26
18	Legnica	29	4	9	16	-18	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	14	13	1	0	+29	40
2	Legia	14	9	5	0	+13	32
3	Wisla Plock	15	8	3	4	+8	27
4	Cracovia	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Jagiellonia	14	7	2	5	+6	23
6	Lech Poznan	14	7	2	5	+6	23
7	Korona Kielce	14	7	2	5	+2	23
8	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	4	3	+2	22
9	Warta Poznan	15	5	6	4	+4	21
10	Stal Mielec	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Piast Gliwice	14	5	3	6	+1	18
12	Widzew Lodz	14	5	3	6	-1	18
13	Slask Wroclaw	14	4	6	4	-3	18
14	Lechia Gdansk	15	4	4	7	-6	16
15	Radomiak Radom	14	4	3	7	-4	15
16	Legnica	15	3	6	6	-6	15
17	Gornik Zabrze	14	3	5	6	-5	14
18	Zaglebie	15	2	5	8	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	15	8	4	3	+8	28
2	Lech Poznan	14	6	7	1	+7	25
3	Pogon Szczecin	15	7	4	4	+2	25
4	Legia	15	7	4	4	+1	25
5	Warta Poznan	14	7	2	5	+4	23
6	Piast Gliwice	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Widzew Lodz	14	5	5	4	+0	20
8	Zaglebie	13	6	2	5	-5	20
9	Radomiak Radom	14	5	4	5	-2	19
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	3	6	+0	18
11	Stal Mielec	14	5	2	7	-4	17
12	Cracovia	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Jagiellonia	15	1	10	4	-3	13
14	Slask Wroclaw	14	3	4	7	-9	13
15	Korona Kielce	14	2	5	7	-10	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	14	3	1	10	-14	10
17	Wisla Plock	14	2	3	9	-9	9
18	Legnica	14	1	3	10	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.