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LaLiga2
Referee: Aitor Gorostegui
Cartagena
T S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 35%
42%
28%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
47%
28%
Both score Ø 42%
42%
42%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

67% Possession 33%
12 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cartagena 7. · Sp Gijon 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 37 18 12 7 +10 66
2 Granada 36 19 7 10 +20 64
3 Las Palmas 36 16 14 6 +16 62
4 Alaves 36 17 11 8 +14 62
5 Levante 36 15 16 5 +13 61
6 Albacete 37 15 13 9 +5 58
7 Cartagena 36 15 8 13 +4 53
8 Burgos 36 12 14 10 +3 50
9 Andorra 36 13 9 14 +6 48
10 Zaragoza 37 11 15 11 +1 48
11 Tenerife 36 11 13 12 +3 46
12 Huesca 36 10 16 10 +1 46
13 Oviedo 36 12 10 14 -4 46
14 Villarreal B 37 12 10 15 -5 46
15 Leganes 36 12 10 14 -5 46
16 Sp Gijon 36 10 15 11 -1 45
17 Mirandes 36 11 12 13 -3 45
18 Santander 36 10 11 15 -5 41
19 Malaga 36 8 12 16 -8 36
20 Ponferradina 36 7 15 14 -14 36
21 Ibiza 36 6 11 19 -27 29
22 Lugo 36 5 12 19 -24 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Sp Gijon
18′
🟨 Carlos Izquierdoz
18′
🟨 Juan Otero
18′
🟨 Jonathan Varane
18′
🟨 Jonathan Varane
18′
🟥 Jonathan Varane
1–0 Darío Poveda
Jairo Izquierdo
31′
Toni Datković 🟨
34′
37′
🟨 Ignacio Martín
2–0 Alfredo Ortuño
Pêpê Rodrigues
40′
42′
Pablo Ínsua 2–1
Cote
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 José Marsà
↦ I. Jeraldino
65′
🔁 Christian Rivera
↦ Nacho Martín
F. Feuillassier 🔁
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
73′
David Ferreiro 🔁
↦ Darío Poveda
73′
77′
🔁 Aitor García
↦ Pedro Díaz
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ D. Musto
81′
Y. Eteki 🔁
↦ Pêpê Rodrigues
81′
84′
🟨 Cristian Rivera
A. Sadiku 🔁
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
87′
87′
🔁 Víctor Campuzano
↦ Pablo Ínsua
87′
🔁 J. Carrillo
↦ Guille Rosas
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-3-3
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
6 T. Datković D
3 Iván Martos D
23 Pêpê Rodrigues M
18 D. Musto M
8 P. De Blasis M
11 Darío Poveda F
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
20 Jairo Izquierdo F
Bench (12)
14 F. Feuillassier
7 David Ferreiro
17 Mikel Rico
22 Y. Eteki
19 A. Sadiku
10 Borja Valle
5 Pablo Vázquez
1 Marc Martínez
2 Miguel Llambrich
26 José Mari
15 Sangalli
24 I. Jansson

Coach: Luis Carrión

Sp Gijon

3-5-2
1 Iván Cuéllar G
24 C. Izquierdoz D
5 Bruno D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
2 Guille Rosas M
8 Pedro Díaz M
33 Nacho Martín M
37 J. Varane M
3 Cote M
19 J. Otero F
14 I. Jeraldino F
Bench (12)
6 José Marsà
17 Christian Rivera
7 Aitor García
11 Víctor Campuzano
20 J. Carrillo
13 G. De Amores
26 F. Bloch
12 Cristo González
43 L. Miguel
29 Jordi Pola
32 Diego Sánchez
21 U. Milovanović

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,07
B
3,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Aitor Gorostegui · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.