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Allsvenskan
Referee: J Östling
Hammarby
S T S T T
2–0
Full-time
Varberg
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hammarby 12. · Varberg 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Norrkoping 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Mjallby 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Kalmar 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Hacken 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Halmstad 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Elfsborg 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Djurgarden 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Varberg 3 0 3 0 +0 3
10 Sirius 3 0 3 0 +0 3
11 Varnamo 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Hammarby 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Degerfors 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 AIK 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Goteborg 3 0 0 3 -4 0
16 Brommapojkarna 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Varberg
15′
🟨 Victor Karlsson
0–1 N. Dahlström
own goal
39′
Half-time 0–1
A. Nalić 🔁
↦ A. Mikkelsen
46′
46′
🔁 A. Al Hamlawi
↦ H. Zackrisson
46′
🔁 O. Silverholt
↦ V. Rönnberg
1–1 V. Đukanović
L. Sadiku
48′
61′
🔁 R. Tranberg
↦ L. Le Roux
62′
🟨 Assad Al-Hamlawi
64′
🟨 Robin Tranberg
J. Erabi 🔁
↦ N. Besara
73′
J. Nilsson 🔁
↦ A. Saidi
74′
75′
🔁 I. Lushaku
↦ Eliton Júnior
75′
🔁 M. Sainte
↦ V. Karlsson
76′
🟨 Oliver Alfonsi
P. Vagić 🔁
↦ V. Đukanović
84′
A. Kralj 🔁
↦ T. Tekie
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-3-3
1 O. Dovin G
21 S. Strand D
4 E. Kurtulus D
13 M. Fenger D
30 S. Pinas D
20 N. Besara M
18 L. Sadiku M
5 T. Tekie M
17 A. Mikkelsen F
40 A. Saidi F
7 V. Đukanović F
Bench (9)
9 A. Nalić
19 J. Erabi
22 J. Nilsson
15 P. Vagić
3 A. Kralj
38 M. Madjed
34 A. Demirol
32 N. Adjei
25 D. Blažević

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Varberg

4-2-3-1
1 D. Olsson G
18 J. Lindner D
40 N. Dahlström D
3 H. Zackrisson D
12 V. Rönnberg D
39 Y. El Ouatki M
8 L. Le Roux M
21 V. Karlsson M
11 Eliton Júnior M
5 Vinícius Nogueira M
14 O. Alfonsi F
Bench (9)
17 A. Al Hamlawi
20 O. Silverholt
7 R. Tranberg
10 I. Lushaku
45 M. Sainte
6 Filipe Sissé
38 Ó. Sverrisson
36 Ö. Pektas
29 F. Andersson

Coach: J. Persson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Östling · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.