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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Ibiza
U S U T T
1–2
Full-time
Oviedo
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ibiza Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
44%
17%
Both score Ø 40%
47%
33%
Average goals
2,4
1,4
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ibiza 21. · Oviedo 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 37 18 12 7 +10 66
2 Granada 36 19 7 10 +20 64
3 Las Palmas 37 16 15 6 +16 63
4 Alaves 36 17 11 8 +14 62
5 Levante 37 15 17 5 +13 62
6 Albacete 37 15 13 9 +5 58
7 Cartagena 37 16 8 13 +5 56
8 Andorra 37 14 9 14 +9 51
9 Burgos 36 12 14 10 +3 50
10 Zaragoza 37 11 15 11 +1 48
11 Tenerife 36 11 13 12 +3 46
12 Huesca 36 10 16 10 +1 46
13 Oviedo 36 12 10 14 -4 46
14 Villarreal B 37 12 10 15 -5 46
15 Leganes 36 12 10 14 -5 46
16 Sp Gijon 37 10 15 12 -2 45
17 Mirandes 36 11 12 13 -3 45
18 Santander 36 10 11 15 -5 41
19 Malaga 36 8 12 16 -8 36
20 Ponferradina 37 7 15 15 -17 36
21 Ibiza 36 6 11 19 -27 29
22 Lugo 36 5 12 19 -24 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ibiza Oviedo
17′
Sergi Enrich 0–1
Lucas Ahijado
1–1 F. Grillo
Javi Vázquez
32′
Isma Ruiz 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–1
G. Escobar 🔁
↦ Isma Ruiz
46′
54′
🔁 Manu Vallejo
↦ Hugo Rama
55′
Sergi Enrich 1–2
Camarasa
Martín Pascual 🟨
61′
Iván Morante 🔁
↦ Martín Pascual
62′
62′
🔁 Oier Luengo
↦ David Costas
Ekain Zenitagoia 🟨
67′
72′
🟨 Luismi
Nolito 🔁
↦ Javi Vázquez
75′
Suleiman Camara 🔁
↦ Coke
75′
L. Juliš 🔁
↦ Ekain Zenitagoia
82′
87′
🔁 Mascarenhas
↦ Sergi Enrich
87′
🔁 Raul Moro
↦ Viti Rozada
87′
🔁 Carlos Pomares
↦ Borja Sánchez
90′
🟨 Masca
90′
🟨 Quentin Braat
93′
ℹ️ Masca
VAR: Goal cancelled
Francisco Grima 🟨
94′
Fausto Grillo 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ibiza

4-4-2
13 Daniel Fuzato G
2 Fran Grima D
3 Martín Pascual D
6 F. Grillo D
12 Javi Vázquez D
23 Coke M
29 Isma Ruiz M
4 Javi Serrano M
20 K. Appin M
7 Cristian Herrera F
10 Ekain Zenitagoia F
Bench (12)
24 G. Escobar
14 Iván Morante
9 Nolito
28 Suleiman Camara
19 L. Juliš
32 Andrés Palacios
21 W. Alarcón
31 Alejandro Sánchez
1 Germán Parreño
15 Juan Fernández
16 Kaxe
26 Jorge Chanza

Coach: Lucas Alcaraz

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
1 Q. Braat G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
2 Abel Bretones D
5 Luismi M
16 Camarasa M
7 Viti Rozada M
20 Hugo Rama M
10 Borja Sánchez M
23 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (10)
8 Manu Vallejo
15 Oier Luengo
38 Mascarenhas
40 Raul Moro
21 Carlos Pomares
31 Mangel Prendes
18 K. Koindredi
13 Tomeu Nadal
11 M. Flores
17 L. Sequeira

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,00
U
2,75
B ✓
2,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,99
U2,5
1,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.