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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Hartberg
T T T U U
0–1
Full-time
Tirol
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 21%
21%
21%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 56%
58%
54%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
10 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 10. · Tirol 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 24 19 4 1 +41 61
2 Sturm Graz 24 11 7 6 +15 40
3 Austria Vienna 24 9 10 5 +9 37
4 Wolfsberger AC 24 11 4 9 -2 37
5 SK Rapid 24 9 8 7 +6 35
6 A. Klagenfurt 24 7 9 8 -6 30
7 LASK 24 7 8 9 +5 29
8 Ried 24 7 8 9 -13 29
9 Admira 24 5 9 10 -4 24
10 Hartberg 24 5 9 10 -6 24
11 Tirol 24 5 9 10 -18 24
12 Altach 24 4 5 15 -27 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Mar -22 Hartberg – Tirol 0–1 17. Oct -21 Tirol – Hartberg 2–2 23. Feb -21 Hartberg – Tirol 1–0 25. Oct -20 Tirol – Hartberg 1–1 7. Mar -20 Hartberg – Tirol 0–3

Match report

Hartberg Tirol
Seth Paintsil 🟨
5′
8′
⚽ S. Ogrinec 0–1
K. Schulz
13′
🟨 Žan Rogelj
Youba Diarra 🟨
14′
Michael Steinwender 🟨
27′
44′
🟨 Thomas Sabitzer
Half-time 0–1
P. Sturm 🔁
↦ T. Kainz
46′
58′
🔁 G. Vrioni
↦ T. Sabitzer
P. Erhardt 🔁
↦ P. Farkas
61′
M. Schmerböck 🔁
↦ N. Niemann
61′
64′
🔁 F. Bacher
↦ K. Schulz
64′
🔁 J. Ertlthaler
↦ T. Prica
Jurgen Heil 🟨
68′
O. Aydın 🔁
↦ S. Paintsil
73′
76′
🔁 D. Tomic
↦ S. Ogrinec
80′
🟨 Fabian Koch
M. Horvat 🔁
↦ T. Kofler
80′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-1-4-1
1 R. Swete G
29 P. Farkas D
5 M. Gollner D
27 T. Kofler D
12 M. Steinwender D
23 T. Kainz M
28 J. Heil M
32 Y. Diarra M
10 N. Niemann M
24 D. Tadić F
30 S. Paintsil M
Bench (7)
18 P. Sturm
6 P. Erhardt
20 M. Schmerböck
9 O. Aydın
11 M. Horvat
35 R. Sallinger
31 T. Rotter

Coach: K. Schmidt

Tirol

4-4-1-1
25 F. Oswald G
24 F. Koch D
44 K. Schulz D
30 R. Behounek D
26 D. Štumberger D
10 B. Blume M
98 S. Ogrinec F
4 V. Müller M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
7 T. Sabitzer F
33 T. Prica M
Bench (7)
9 G. Vrioni
5 F. Bacher
77 J. Ertlthaler
18 D. Tomic
14 A. Ranacher
13 B. Ozegovic
23 S. Skrbo

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.