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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Hartberg
T T T T U
1–2
Full-time
SK Rapid
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
60%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 12. · SK Rapid 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 15 11 3 1 +23 36
2 Sturm Graz 15 9 5 1 +15 32
3 LASK 15 7 5 3 +9 26
4 Austria Vienna 15 6 5 4 +1 23
5 SK Rapid 15 6 3 6 +6 21
6 Tirol 15 6 3 6 -1 21
7 A. Klagenfurt 15 6 3 6 -2 21
8 A. Lustenau 15 3 6 6 -8 15
9 Altach 15 4 3 8 -11 15
10 Wolfsberger AC 15 4 2 9 -6 14
11 Ried 15 3 4 8 -10 13
12 Hartberg 15 3 2 10 -16 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg SK Rapid
16′
M. Grüll 0–1
J. Auer
1–1 O. Aydın
D. Frieser
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 R. Kerschbaum
↦ F. Druijf
Lukas Fadinger 🟨
48′
Michael Steinwender 🟨
66′
66′
🟨 Christoph Knasmüllner
Thomas Rotter 🟨
67′
70′
🔁 B. Zimmermann
↦ C. Knasmüllner
70′
🔁 N. Kühn
↦ T. Schick
R. Kriwak 🔁
↦ D. Tadić
75′
E. Almog 🔁
↦ R. Providence
75′
80′
🟨 Jonas Antonius Auer
M. Kröpfl 🔁
↦ O. Aydın
81′
83′
🔁 A. Bajić
↦ M. Grüll
88′
B. Zimmermann 1–2
93′
🟨 Roman Kerschbaum
T. Kainz 🔁
↦ J. Heil
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hartberg

5-4-1
1 R. Swete G
33 D. Frieser D
12 M. Steinwender D
31 T. Rotter D
11 M. Horvat D
22 M. Karamarko D
70 R. Providence M
28 J. Heil M
8 L. Fadinger M
9 O. Aydın M
24 D. Tadić F
Bench (7)
39 R. Kriwak
10 E. Almog
17 M. Kröpfl
23 T. Kainz
35 R. Sallinger
29 P. Farkas
16 M. Sonnleitner

Coach: K. Schmidt

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
22 M. Koscelník D
43 L. Querfeld D
26 M. Moormann D
23 J. Auer D
14 A. Pejić M
8 C. Knasmüllner M
13 T. Schick M
38 F. Druijf M
27 M. Grüll M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
5 R. Kerschbaum
41 B. Zimmermann
7 N. Kühn
29 A. Bajić
25 P. Gartler
6 K. Wimmer
24 P. Greil

Coach: Z. Barišić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.