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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Sturm Graz
S S U U U
2–0
Full-time
A. Klagenfurt
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz A. Klagenfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 44%
58%
29%
Points per game
2,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
45%
52%
Both score Ø 52%
52%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · A. Klagenfurt 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 31 19 7 5 +39 64
2 Sturm Graz 31 18 10 3 +31 64
3 LASK 31 14 10 7 +16 52
4 Wolfsberger AC 32 12 10 10 +2 46
5 Austria Vienna 32 12 10 10 +1 46
6 SK Rapid 31 11 12 8 +15 45
7 Hartberg 31 11 9 11 -6 42
8 A. Klagenfurt 31 9 12 10 -8 39
9 BW Linz 32 7 11 14 -15 32
10 Altach 32 6 13 13 -13 31
11 Tirol 32 7 5 20 -26 26
12 A. Lustenau 32 4 9 19 -36 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sturm Graz A. Klagenfurt
Dimitri Lavalėe 🟨
28′
N. Geyrhofer 🔁
↦ S. Jatta
37′
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Thorsten Mahrer
68′
🔁 F. Jaritz
↦ S. Karweina
1–0 G. Wüthrich
T. Horvat
69′
72′
🔁 A. Maglica
↦ S. Soto
72′
🔁 S. Straudi
↦ C. Wernitznig
A. Camara 🔁
↦ W. Bøving
75′
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
75′
82′
🔁 J. Robatsch
↦ C. Cvetko
S. Włodarczyk 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
87′
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
87′
2–0 A. Camara
A. Prass
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
16 V. Jaroš G
22 J. Gazibegović D
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 D. Lavalée D
28 D. Schnegg D
15 W. Bøving M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
19 T. Horvat M
20 S. Jatta F
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (7)
35 N. Geyrhofer
36 A. Camara
2 M. Johnston
9 S. Włodarczyk
25 S. Hierländer
31 L. Marić
11 M. Sarkaria

Coach: C. Ilzer

A. Klagenfurt

4-3-1-2
13 P. Menzel G
24 C. Wernitznig D
31 T. Mahrer D
37 N. Wimmer D
33 T. Schumacher D
23 M. Besuschkow M
20 R. Benatelli M
14 C. Cvetko M
10 S. Karweina M
11 S. Soto F
39 J. Arweiler F
Bench (7)
7 F. Jaritz
99 A. Maglica
17 S. Straudi
34 J. Robatsch
1 M. Knaller
77 A. Schwarz
2 S. Bonnah

Coach: P. Pacult

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.