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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
LASK
S T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 54%
47%
60%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
33%
43%
Both score Ø 44%
37%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match LASK 3. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 30 18 9 3 +31 63
2 Salzburg 30 18 7 5 +35 61
3 LASK 30 14 9 7 +16 51
4 Wolfsberger AC 31 11 10 10 +0 43
5 Austria Vienna 31 11 10 10 +0 43
6 SK Rapid 30 10 12 8 +14 42
7 Hartberg 30 11 9 10 -2 42
8 A. Klagenfurt 30 9 12 9 -7 39
9 BW Linz 31 7 11 13 -14 32
10 Altach 31 6 12 13 -13 30
11 Tirol 31 7 5 19 -24 26
12 A. Lustenau 31 4 8 19 -36 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Apr -24 Sturm Graz – LASK 1–0 5. Nov -23 LASK – Sturm Graz 3–1 5. Aug -23 Sturm Graz – LASK 2–0 3. Jun -23 Sturm Graz – LASK 2–0 9. Apr -23 LASK – Sturm Graz 2–1

Match report

LASK Sturm Graz
1–0 F. Flecker ⚽
M. Ljubičić
20′
30′
⚽ O. Kiteishvili 1–1
M. Biereth
44′
🟨 Alexander Prass
Half-time 1–2
48′
⚽ O. Kiteishvili 1–2
A. Prass
57′
🟨 Otar Kiteishvili
73′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ W. Bøving
75′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
2–2 M. Ljubičić ⚽
77′
F. Luckeneder 🔁
↦ M. Talovierov
83′
R. Žulj 🔁
↦ A. Taoui
83′
85′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ J. Gazibegović
85′
🔁 Javi Serrano
↦ N. Geyrhofer
86′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ T. Horvat
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

LASK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Lawal G
22 F. Stojković D
5 P. Ziereis D
16 A. Andrade D
2 G. Bello D
4 M. Talovierov M
14 V. Berisha M
17 M. Usor M
44 A. Taoui M
29 F. Flecker M
9 M. Ljubičić F
Bench (7)
33 F. Luckeneder
10 R. Žulj
28 J. Siebenhandl
37 L. Copado
38 A. Haider
24 E. Havel
25 S. Ba

Coach: T. Darazs

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
16 V. Jaroš G
22 J. Gazibegović D
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 D. Lavalée D
28 D. Schnegg D
19 T. Horvat M
35 N. Geyrhofer M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
18 M. Biereth F
15 W. Bøving F
Bench (7)
20 S. Jatta
2 M. Johnston
14 Javi Serrano
36 A. Camara
31 L. Marić
9 S. Włodarczyk
25 S. Hierländer

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.