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Bundesliga
Referee: I Simsek
Hartberg
U S S S T
2–1
Full-time
BW Linz
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg BW Linz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 9
2 Offside 4
5 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 8. · BW Linz 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 10 7 1 2 +12 22
2 SK Rapid 10 6 3 1 +4 21
3 Wolfsberger AC 10 5 1 4 +6 16
4 Salzburg 8 5 1 2 +3 16
5 Austria Vienna 10 4 3 3 +1 15
6 BW Linz 10 4 2 4 -2 14
7 LASK 10 4 1 5 +0 13
8 Hartberg 9 3 3 3 +0 12
9 A. Klagenfurt 9 3 2 4 -6 11
10 Tirol 10 2 3 5 -4 9
11 Altach 10 2 2 6 -4 8
12 Grazer AK 10 0 4 6 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Nov -23 Hartberg – BW Linz 3–2 6. Aug -23 BW Linz – Hartberg 3–3

Match report

Hartberg BW Linz
0–1 S. Wallner ⚽
own goal
6′
Half-time 0–1
M. Karamatić 🔁
↦ D. Prokop
46′
1–1 P. Mijić ⚽
M. Pfeifer
50′
55′
🔁 A. Schmidt
↦ S. Seidl
55′
🔁 Ronivaldo
↦ A. Pašić
72′
🔁 L. Ibertsberger
↦ S. Pirkl
73′
🔁 D. Mitrović
↦ S. Wallner
N. Amadin 🔁
↦ D. Avdijaj
76′
77′
🟨 Martin Moormann
M. Fillafer 🔁
↦ P. Mijić
77′
F. Demir 🔁
↦ Y. Diarra
84′
B. Hardley 🔁
↦ F. Wilfinger
86′
87′
⚽ Ronivaldo 1–2
Anderson
88′
🟨 Soumaila Diabate
89′
🔁 M. Ibrahimi
↦ T. Goiginger
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Sallinger G
28 J. Heil D
18 F. Wilfinger D
14 P. Komposch D
20 M. Pfeifer D
4 B. Markuš M
23 T. Kainz M
10 D. Avdijaj M
5 Y. Diarra M
27 D. Prokop M
9 P. Mijić F
Bench (7)
6 M. Karamatić
29 N. Amadin
11 M. Fillafer
61 F. Demir
2 B. Hardley
22 M. Hoffmann
21 L. Marić

Coach: M. Karner

BW Linz

3-4-3
1 R. Vítek G
4 S. Wallner D
15 M. Maranda D
16 M. Moormann D
28 Anderson M
18 S. Diabaté M
17 A. Pašić M
60 S. Pirkl M
20 S. Seidl F
30 K. Dobras F
27 T. Goiginger F
Bench (7)
13 A. Schmidt
9 Ronivaldo
26 L. Ibertsberger
5 D. Mitrović
29 M. Ibrahimi
31 K. Radulovic
2 F. Strauß

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Simsek · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.