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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Kampka

Elversberg

U T S S U

4–2

Full-time

Hamburg

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

4,2

Scored

1,8

3,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

33%

56%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

56%

78%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,7

2,4

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

18 Shots 9

10 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elversberg 9. · Hamburg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	2	1	+7	20
2	Karlsruhe	9	5	4	0	+6	19
3	Paderborn	10	5	4	1	+5	19
4	Hamburg	9	5	3	1	+13	18
5	Magdeburg	9	4	4	1	+6	16
6	Nurnberg	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Hannover	9	5	1	3	+4	16
8	Hertha	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Elversberg	9	3	4	2	+5	13
10	FC Koln	10	3	3	4	+2	12
11	Kaiserslautern	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Greuther Furth	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Darmstadt	9	2	3	4	-3	9
14	Schalke 04	9	2	2	5	-4	8
15	Ulm	9	2	1	6	-3	7
16	Braunschweig	9	2	1	6	-12	7
17	Preußen Münster	9	1	3	5	-5	6
18	Regensburg	10	1	1	8	-26	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Hamburg	5	3	2	0	+10	11
3	Paderborn	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Karlsruhe	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Nurnberg	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	FC Koln	6	2	1	3	+4	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Braunschweig	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Kaiserslautern	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Darmstadt	5	1	2	2	+1	5
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Greuther Furth	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Magdeburg	4	0	4	0	+0	4
16	Regensburg	5	1	1	3	-9	4
17	Ulm	5	1	0	4	-2	3
18	Preußen Münster	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Magdeburg	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Karlsruhe	5	2	3	0	+2	9
4	Paderborn	6	2	3	1	-1	9
5	Hertha	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Hamburg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Nurnberg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Kaiserslautern	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Elversberg	5	1	3	1	+2	6
10	Greuther Furth	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	FC Koln	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Ulm	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Darmstadt	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Preußen Münster	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hannover	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Braunschweig	5	0	1	4	-13	1
18	Regensburg	5	0	0	5	-17	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.