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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Caen
S S T T U
0–1
Full-time
Troyes
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 17%
22%
11%
Points per game
0,9
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,4
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Caen 15. · Troyes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 9 7 0 2 +10 21
2 Lorient 10 6 2 2 +8 20
3 Dunkerque 10 6 1 3 +3 19
4 Metz 10 5 3 2 +8 18
5 Annecy 10 5 3 2 +5 18
6 Amiens 10 6 0 4 +4 18
7 Grenoble 9 5 1 3 +7 16
8 Pau FC 10 4 3 3 +1 15
9 Laval 10 4 2 4 +3 14
10 Bastia 9 3 5 1 +2 14
11 Guingamp 10 4 1 5 +0 13
12 Ajaccio 9 3 2 4 -3 11
13 Rodez 10 3 1 6 -2 10
14 Clermont 10 2 3 5 -3 9
15 Caen 9 2 2 5 -6 8
16 Red Star 10 2 2 6 -10 8
17 Martigues 10 2 2 6 -14 8
18 Troyes 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen Troyes
10′
🟨 Martin Adeline
G. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ E. Ntim
30′
Romain Thomas 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
B. Brahimi 🔁
↦ L. Rajot
46′
Lorenzo Rajot 🟨
47′
49′
R. Saïd 0–1
Y. M'Changama
71′
🔁 J. Assoumou
↦ R. Saïd
71′
🔁 C. Irié
↦ K. Dong
K. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ N. Lebreton
74′
76′
🔁 J. Nonge Boende
↦ Y. MChangama
79′
🟥 Paolo Gozzi
M. Le Bihan 🔁
↦ T. Gomis
82′
82′
🔁 I. Boura
↦ M. Adeline
D. Bolumbu 🔁
↦ Q. Lecoeuche
83′
85′
🟨 Renaud Ripart
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Caen

5-3-2
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
61 B. Traoré D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
20 N. Lebreton M
77 D. Debohi
14 L. Rajot M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
7 T. Gomis F
Bench (7)
17 G. Kyeremeh
10 B. Brahimi
18 K. Coulibaly
8 M. Le Bihan
3 D. Bolumbu
23 M. Autret
16 Y. Clémentia

Coach: N. Seube

Troyes

4-5-1
16 N. Lemaître G
17 Houboulang Mendes D
6 A. Monfray D
4 J. Diaz D
23 P. Gozzi D
27 K. Dong M
24 M. Adeline M
42 A. Kanté M
10 Y. M'Changama M
11 R. Saïd M
20 R. Ripart F
Bench (7)
15 J. Assoumou
21 C. Irié
19 J. Nonge Boende
14 I. Boura
28 R. Fage
25 P. Ba
1 Z. Boucher

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U
3,71
B ✓
4,50
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.