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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

BW Linz

U S T S S

1–2

Full-time

Sturm Graz

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BW Linz Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 43%

43%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 9

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match BW Linz 4. · Sturm Graz 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SK Rapid	7	4	2	1	+2	14
2	Wolfsberger AC	7	4	1	2	+8	13
3	Sturm Graz	7	4	1	2	+3	13
4	BW Linz	7	4	1	2	+0	13
5	Salzburg	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Austria Vienna	7	2	3	2	+1	9
7	Altach	7	2	2	3	+0	8
8	A. Klagenfurt	6	2	2	2	-2	8
9	Hartberg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
10	LASK	7	2	0	5	-5	6
11	Tirol	7	1	2	4	-5	5
12	Grazer AK	7	0	4	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SK Rapid	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	BW Linz	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Sturm Graz	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Wolfsberger AC	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Austria Vienna	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	A. Klagenfurt	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Hartberg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Altach	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	LASK	4	1	0	3	-4	3
11	Grazer AK	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Tirol	3	0	2	1	-1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Wolfsberger AC	4	2	0	2	+3	6
3	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
4	Altach	3	1	1	1	+0	4
5	BW Linz	4	1	1	2	-5	4
6	LASK	3	1	0	2	-1	3
7	A. Klagenfurt	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Tirol	4	1	0	3	-4	3
9	Austria Vienna	4	0	2	2	-2	2
10	SK Rapid	3	0	2	1	-3	2
11	Grazer AK	4	0	2	2	-4	2
12	Hartberg	2	0	1	1	-2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.