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Süper Lig

Referee: Z Küçük

Hatayspor

T U T U T

0–1

Full-time

Kayserispor

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,4

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,74 xG 1,71

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hatayspor 18. · Kayserispor 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	8	1	0	+19	+6.4	25
2	Besiktas	8	6	2	0	+12	+8.4	20
3	Samsunspor	9	6	1	2	+7	+3.8	19
4	Fenerbahce	8	5	2	1	+11	+10.4	17
5	Eyüpspor	9	4	3	2	+4	+0.9	15
6	Buyuksehyr	8	4	2	2	+4	+0.3	14
7	Sivasspor	10	4	2	4	+0	-6.3	14
8	Goztep	8	3	3	2	+4	+0.1	12
9	Trabzonspor	8	2	6	0	+2	-0.6	12
10	Kasimpasa	9	2	5	2	-1	+2.2	11
11	Konyaspor	9	3	2	4	-3	-1.2	11
12	Bodrumspor	9	3	1	5	-3	+0.2	10
13	Rizespor	9	3	1	5	-10	-3.7	10
14	Alanyaspor	9	2	3	4	-4	+0.9	9
15	Antalyaspor	9	2	2	5	-9	-6.8	8
16	Gaziantep	8	1	3	4	-4	-2.0	6
17	Kayserispor	8	0	5	3	-7	-4.3	5
18	Hatayspor	8	0	3	5	-7	-6.1	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	9	0	1	8	-15	-2.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	4	1	0	+9	+7.3	13
2	Besiktas	4	4	0	0	+7	+5.7	12
3	Goztep	4	3	1	0	+6	-0.1	10
4	Eyüpspor	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.2	10
5	Trabzonspor	4	2	2	0	+2	-0.5	8
6	Buyuksehyr	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.2	7
7	Samsunspor	5	2	1	2	+0	+1.7	7
8	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	+0	-2.4	7
9	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	-3	-3.7	7
10	Fenerbahce	3	2	0	1	+2	+5.1	6
11	Bodrumspor	5	2	0	3	+1	+0.8	6
12	Alanyaspor	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.1	6
13	Konyaspor	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.8	5
14	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-6	-1.3	4
15	Kasimpasa	5	0	3	2	-3	+1.0	3
16	Gaziantep	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.4	2
17	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-4	-2.1	2
18	Hatayspor	4	0	2	2	-4	-2.7	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	5	0	0	5	-11	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+10	-0.9	12
2	Samsunspor	4	4	0	0	+7	+2.1	12
3	Fenerbahce	5	3	2	0	+9	+5.3	11
4	Besiktas	4	2	2	0	+5	+2.8	8
5	Kasimpasa	4	2	2	0	+2	+1.2	8
6	Sivasspor	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.9	7
7	Buyuksehyr	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.9	7
8	Konyaspor	5	2	0	3	-3	-3.0	6
9	Rizespor	4	2	0	2	-4	-2.4	6
10	Eyüpspor	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.3	5
11	Trabzonspor	4	0	4	0	+0	-0.1	4
12	Gaziantep	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
13	Bodrumspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-0.6	4
14	Kayserispor	4	0	3	1	-3	-2.2	3
15	Alanyaspor	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.2	3
16	Goztep	4	0	2	2	-2	+0.2	2
17	Hatayspor	4	0	1	3	-3	-3.4	1
18	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.8	1
19	Antalyaspor	4	0	1	3	-6	-3.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.