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Serie B

Referee: D Rutella

Carrarese

T T U S U

3–0

Full-time

Cittadella

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

22%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

59% Possession 41%

9 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Carrarese 19. · Cittadella 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spezia	10	5	5	0	+7	20
2	Pisa	9	6	2	1	+6	20
3	Sassuolo	9	5	3	1	+9	18
4	Cremonese	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Palermo	10	4	3	3	+3	15
6	Juve Stabia	10	4	3	3	+0	15
7	Cesena	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Brescia	10	4	1	5	-2	13
9	Bari	10	2	6	2	+2	12
10	Sudtirol	9	4	0	5	-1	12
11	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Mantova	9	3	3	3	-2	12
13	Sampdoria	9	3	2	4	+1	11
14	Cosenza	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Salernitana	10	3	2	5	-3	11
16	Modena	9	2	4	3	+0	10
17	Catanzaro	9	1	6	2	-1	9
18	Cittadella	9	2	3	4	-6	9
19	Carrarese	9	2	2	5	-5	8
20	Frosinone	9	1	3	5	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Cesena	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Spezia	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Mantova	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Brescia	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Reggiana	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Cremonese	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Modena	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Salernitana	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Catanzaro	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Juve Stabia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
15	Sudtirol	5	2	0	3	-2	6
16	Palermo	4	1	2	1	+1	5
17	Carrarese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
19	Cittadella	4	0	3	1	-1	3
20	Frosinone	5	0	3	2	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Palermo	6	3	1	2	+2	10
3	Cremonese	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Juve Stabia	6	2	3	1	+0	9
5	Sampdoria	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Spezia	5	1	4	0	+2	7
7	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Bari	5	1	3	1	+2	6
9	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Cittadella	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Salernitana	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Reggiana	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Brescia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Modena	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Cosenza	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Carrarese	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Frosinone	4	1	0	3	-6	3
19	Mantova	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Cesena	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.