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Super League
Referee: P Tsiaras
Panserraikos
U T S T S
1–0
Full-time
AEK
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panserraikos AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — Super League · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 36%
22%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
67%
25%
Both score Ø 41%
56%
25%
Average goals
3,0
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,9
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 11
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panserraikos 12. · AEK 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 9 5 2 2 +7 17
2 Aris Thessalonikis 8 5 2 1 +6 17
3 Aris 8 5 2 1 +6 17
4 AEK 8 4 3 1 +9 15
5 Olympiakos 9 4 3 2 +6 15
6 Panetolikos 9 4 2 3 +3 14
7 OFI Crete 9 4 2 3 +0 14
8 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 +1 12
9 Asteras Tripolis 9 2 5 2 +1 11
10 Volos NFC 9 3 1 5 -7 10
11 Atromitos 9 2 3 4 -3 9
12 Panserraikos 9 2 1 6 -7 7
13 Lamia 10 1 4 5 -9 7
14 Levadeiakos 9 0 6 3 -6 6
15 Athens Kallithea 9 0 5 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panserraikos AEK
6′
🟨 E. Hajsafi
22′
🟨 R. Pereyra
1–0 Jefté Betancor
23′
N. Terzic 🟥
27′
J. Betancor 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–0
A. Karasalidis 🔁
↦ M. Deletić
46′
46′
🔁 O. Pineda
↦ H. Moukoudi
48′
🟨 D. Vida
57′
🔁 A. Martial
↦ E. Hajisafi
70′
🔁 N. Eliasson
↦ L. García
70′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ R. Pereyra
W. Kaptoum 🔁
↦ J. Gélin
75′
T. Koutsogoulas 🔁
↦ P. Deligiannidis
75′
J. Salazar 🔁
↦ Jefté Betancor
75′
M. Tomas 🟨
84′
Z. Chatzistravos 🔁
↦ M. Tomás
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Panserraikos

23 L. Gugeshashvili
31 E. Bergström
64 P. Deligiannidis
91 J. Davidson
26 P. Staikos
25 J. Gélin
93 M. Fares
24 N. Terzić
11 M. Tomás
10 Jefté Betancor
7 M. Deletić
Bench (9)
4 A. Karasalidis
6 W. Kaptoum
2 T. Koutsogoulas
77 J. Salazar
18 Z. Chatzistravos
13 P. Katsikas
47 A. Karamanolis
9 P. Gigić
3 S. Petavrakis

Coach: Juan Ferrando

AEK

1 T. Strakosha
28 E. Hajisafi
21 D. Vida
29 M. Odubajo
2 H. Moukoudi
37 R. Pereyra
9 É. Lamela
8 M. Gaćinović
4 D. Szymański
7 L. García
14 F. Pierrot
Bench (9)
13 O. Pineda
26 A. Martial
19 N. Eliasson
20 P. Mantalos
3 S. Pilios
23 R. Ljubičić
91 A. Brignoli
6 J. Jønsson
18 A. Callens

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
7,44
U
4,91
B
1,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Tsiaras · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.