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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Tirol
S T U S U
2–1
Full-time
BW Linz
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol BW Linz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,2
Scored
0,7
0,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 18%
20%
16%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
44%
36%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
44%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 11. · BW Linz 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 26 17 6 3 +36 57
2 Sturm Graz 25 15 7 3 +26 52
3 LASK 26 11 9 6 +10 42
4 SK Rapid 25 9 11 5 +20 38
5 Austria Vienna 25 9 9 7 +3 36
6 Hartberg 25 9 8 8 -2 35
7 A. Klagenfurt 25 8 11 6 -3 35
8 Wolfsberger AC 25 8 9 8 -3 33
9 Altach 25 4 10 11 -13 22
10 BW Linz 25 4 10 11 -16 22
11 Tirol 25 5 4 16 -21 19
12 A. Lustenau 25 2 6 17 -37 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol BW Linz
1–0 M. Diarra
M. Taferner
4′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Noß
↦ M. Krainz
2–0 M. Diarra
N. Prelec
50′
61′
🔁 Ronivaldo
↦ S. Feiertag
61′
🔁 K. Dobras
↦ S. Seidl
67′
🔁 M. Schantl
↦ J. Gölles
67′
🔁 M. Ibrahimi
↦ P. Mensah
75′
K. Dobras 2–1
M. Schantl
A. Buksa 🔁
↦ N. Prelec
77′
J. Naschberger 🔁
↦ S. Ogrinec
83′
T. Geris 🔁
↦ K. Schulz
83′
David Gugganig 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tirol

5-3-2
40 A. Stejskal G
6 L. Sulzbacher D
5 F. Bacher D
22 O. Okungbowa D
3 D. Gugganig D
44 K. Schulz D
30 M. Taferner M
4 V. Müller M
98 S. Ogrinec M
9 N. Prelec F
8 M. Diarra F
Bench (7)
11 A. Buksa
17 J. Naschberger
28 T. Geris
10 B. Blume
7 L. Kronberger
1 P. Schermer
14 A. Ranacher

Coach: T. Silberberger

BW Linz

3-4-3
1 N. Schmid G
17 A. Pašić D
15 M. Maranda D
2 F. Strauß D
14 J. Gölles M
4 M. Krainz M
19 A. Briedl M
8 S. Pirkl M
10 P. Mensah F
18 S. Feiertag F
20 S. Seidl F
Bench (7)
7 C. Noß
9 Ronivaldo
30 K. Dobras
28 M. Schantl
29 M. Ibrahimi
12 A. Lukse
27 S. Haudum

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.