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Super League
Referee: F San
Xamax
U T U U
0–3
Full-time
Basel
S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Xamax Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 88%
75%
100%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
This season — Super League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 88%
75%
100%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Xamax 10. · Basel 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Basel 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Sion 4 2 1 1 +0 7
4 Thun 4 1 2 1 +1 5
5 Servette 4 1 2 1 -1 5
6 Zurich 5 1 2 2 -5 5
7 Lugano 4 1 1 2 +1 4
8 Luzern 4 1 1 2 -1 4
9 St. Gallen 5 1 1 3 -3 4
10 Xamax 4 0 3 1 -1 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Xamax Basel
27′
🟨 Eder Balanta
Half-time 0–1
55′
⚽ F. Frei 0–1
K. Bua
57′
🟨 Omar Alderete
68′
🟨 Fabian Frei
M. Haile-Selassie 🔁
↦ T. Sulejmanov
68′
69′
🔁 T. Xhaka
↦ S. Campo
70′
⚽ K. Ademi 0–2
76′
🔁 E. Zhegrova
↦ K. Bua
G. Karlen 🔁
↦ L. Mulaj
80′
80′
🔁 N. Okafor
↦ K. Ademi
87′
⚽ V. Stocker 0–3
F. Frei
S. Alic 🔁
↦ T. Corbaz
89′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Xamax

3-4-2-1
30 L. Walthert G
55 I. Đurić D
23 M. Gomes M
4 Andre Luis D
25 M. Ošs D
16 L. Seydoux M
7 T. Corbaz M
8 S. Ramizi M
17 T. Sulejmanov F
28 L. Mulaj F
14 R. Nuzzolo F
Bench (7)
19 M. Haile-Selassie
11 G. Karlen
22 S. Alic
32 M. Minder
3 J. Kamber
29 N. Sylvestre
27 A. Xhemajli

Coach: J. Magnin

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
5 S. Widmer D
23 É. Álvarez M
6 O. Alderete D
4 E. Cömert D
15 B. Riveros D
14 V. Stocker M
20 F. Frei M
10 S. Campo M
33 K. Bua M
99 K. Ademi F
Bench (7)
34 T. Xhaka
30 E. Zhegrova
11 N. Okafor
13 Đ. Nikolić
19 A. Pululu
43 Y. Kaiser
3 K. Dimitriou

Coach: M. Koller

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U
–
B ✓
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

F San · 137 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.